Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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8-18-2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 8-18-2021
Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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Box | | 1.5 | 150 | O 9.5 | -115 | 260 | | 84 | 4mph | | 0 | CHC | R | Adrian Sampson | | 4.8 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 32.1 | 49.1 | 58.2 | | 0 | 31.7 | 2.6 | | 4.3 | 9.0 | 4.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| | -1.5 | -170 | U 9.5 | -105 | -300 | | | R-L | | 0 | CIN | R | Tyler Mahle | | 6.3 | 9.8 | 0.2 | | 67.9 | 51.0 | 41.9 | | 0 | 56.5 | 3.6 | | -7.1 | -12.0 | -9.4 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | -1.5 | 140 | O 9.5 | -110 | -102 | | 86 | 9mph | | 0 | CLE | R | Zach Plesac | | 4.6 | 9.4 | 0.3 | | 46.4 | 34.4 | 43.7 | | 0 | 40.0 | 2.6 | | -4.1 | -7.3 | -8.7 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -160 | U 9.5 | -110 | -108 | | | R-L | | 0 | MIN | L | Lewis Thorpe | | 4.8 | 8.6 | 0.4 | | 53.7 | 65.7 | 56.3 | | 0 | 45.8 | 2.8 | | 1.7 | 4.1 | 3.9 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Box | | -1.5 | 100 | O 14.0 | -120 | -148 | | 93 | 6mph | | 0 | SD | R | Jake Arrieta | | 8.2 | 13.5 | 0.3 | | 54.1 | 44.9 | 59.7 | | 0 | 45.1 | 4.8 | | -5.6 | -5.1 | 5.2 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
| | 1.5 | -120 | U 14.0 | 100 | 138 | | | In | | 0 | COL | R | Chi Chi Gonzalez | | 7.4 | 11.9 | 0.3 | | 46.0 | 55.1 | 40.3 | | 0 | 46.0 | 4.8 | | 3.9 | 0.6 | -9.7 | | ● | ● | | | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
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Box | | 1.5 | -155 | O 8.5 | -120 | 132 | | 66 | 8mph | | 0 | NYM | R | Tylor Megill | | 3.4 | 7.9 | 0.2 | | 29.4 | 49.2 | 45.3 | | 0 | 26.6 | 1.8 | | -13.7 | -11.6 | -9.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 135 | U 8.5 | 100 | -142 | | | Out | | 0 | SF | R | Anthony DeSclafani | | 5.1 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 70.6 | 50.9 | 54.8 | | 0 | 58.8 | 3.0 | | 11.9 | 8.3 | 4.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Box | | -1.5 | -105 | O 9.0 | -110 | -165 | | 85 | 11mph | | 0 | TOR | R | Jose Berrios | | 5.8 | 10.0 | 0.4 | | 63.3 | 50.9 | 53.5 | | 0 | 56.0 | 3.3 | | 1.0 | -0.4 | 1.1 | | ● | | ● | | 0.00 | | 0.00 |
| | 1.5 | -115 | U 9.0 | -110 | 145 | | | Out | | 0 | WSH | R | Josiah Gray | | 4.1 | 8.3 | 0.4 | | 36.7 | 49.2 | 46.6 | | 0 | 30.7 | 2.2 | | -4.1 | -4.3 | -5.8 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | -1.5 | 145 | O 10.0 | -115 | -105 | | 78 | 11mph | | 0 | BOS | R | Nick Pivetta | | 5.6 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 51.9 | 40.1 | 51.2 | | 0 | 47.3 | 3.2 | | 0.7 | -0.7 | -2.3 | | ● | | | | 0.00 | | |
| | 1.5 | -175 | U 10.0 | -105 | -115 | | | R-L | | 0 | NYY | L | Andrew Heaney | | 5.2 | 7.8 | 0.2 | | 48.1 | 59.9 | 48.8 | | 0 | 40.6 | 2.9 | | -5.4 | -3.7 | -2.4 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | -1.5 | 120 | O 8.5 | -105 | -141 | | 81 | 6mph | | 0 | LAA | R | Shohei Ohtani | | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 68.5 | 54.4 | 40.4 | | 0 | 60.0 | 2.9 | | 10.0 | 8.9 | -10.8 | | ● | ● | | | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| | 1.5 | -145 | U 8.5 | -115 | 115 | | | L-R | | 0 | DET | L | Tarik Skubal | | 3.1 | 6.6 | 0.3 | | 31.5 | 45.7 | 59.6 | | 0 | 24.1 | 1.5 | | -15.0 | -13.5 | 6.1 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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Box | | -1.5 | -130 | O 7.5 | -120 | -227 | | 72 | 0mph | | 0 | ATL | R | Charlie Morton | | 6.1 | 9.9 | 0.2 | | 80.1 | 69.4 | 57.9 | | 0 | 73.9 | 3.8 | | 10.7 | 12.8 | 3.3 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| | 1.5 | 105 | U 7.5 | 100 | 180 | | | Unknown | | 0 | MIA | L | Jesus Luzardo | | 2.7 | 6.8 | 0.3 | | 19.9 | 30.7 | 42.2 | | 0 | 16.2 | 1.3 | | -15.8 | -18.1 | -7.9 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | 2.5 | -110 | O 9.0 | -110 | 260 | | 72 | 0mph | | 0 | BAL | R | Spenser Watkins | | 4.7 | 9.9 | 0.2 | | 45.7 | 73.8 | 49.7 | | 0 | 42.9 | 2.8 | | 17.9 | 21.4 | -2.7 | | ● | ● | | | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| | -2.5 | -110 | U 9.0 | -110 | -345 | | | Unknown | | 0 | TB | L | Ryan Yarbrough | | 4.8 | 8.3 | 0.2 | | 54.4 | 26.2 | 50.3 | | 0 | 43.8 | 2.9 | | -23.2 | -26.2 | -2.1 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 7.0 | -110 | -125 | | 84 | 7mph | | 0 | MIL | R | Freddy Peralta | | 3.3 | 7.3 | 0.3 | | 53.9 | 38.2 | 34.2 | | 0 | 40.6 | 1.6 | | -1.7 | -4.4 | -18.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -164 | U 7.0 | -110 | 105 | | | R-L | | 0 | STL | R | Jack Flaherty | | 2.8 | 5.7 | 0.2 | | 46.1 | 61.9 | 65.8 | | 0 | 34.6 | 1.4 | | -2.7 | -0.3 | 13.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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Box | | -1.5 | -110 | O 8.5 | -120 | -175 | | 72 | 0mph | | 0 | SEA | L | Marco Gonzales | | 6.3 | 10.3 | 0.3 | | 64.9 | 53.1 | 69.1 | | 0 | 53.4 | 3.7 | | 1.3 | 0.7 | 14.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| | 1.5 | -110 | U 8.5 | 100 | 145 | | | Unknown | | 0 | TEX | R | Mike Foltynewicz | | 4.5 | 9.2 | 0.3 | | 35.1 | 46.9 | 30.9 | | 0 | 34.1 | 2.8 | | -5.7 | -5.5 | -19.1 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 8.5 | -120 | 145 | | 78 | 7mph | | 0 | OAK | L | Cole Irvin | | 4.0 | 7.7 | 0.2 | | 45.7 | 63.0 | 43.6 | | 0 | 36.0 | 2.1 | | 4.9 | 5.5 | -11.0 | | ● | ● | | | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| | -1.5 | 110 | U 8.5 | 100 | -175 | | | In | | 0 | CWS | R | Lance Lynn | | 4.2 | 8.6 | 0.2 | | 54.3 | 37.1 | 56.5 | | 0 | 48.1 | 2.4 | | -9.3 | -10.6 | 6.5 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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Box | | -1.5 | -110 | O 9.0 | -120 | -175 | | 84 | 8mph | | 0 | HOU | R | Zack Greinke | | 7.0 | 12.4 | 0.2 | | 72.8 | 62.3 | 61.0 | | 0 | 64.3 | 4.1 | | 9.1 | 9.9 | 6.5 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| | 1.5 | -110 | U 9.0 | 100 | 145 | | | R-L | | 0 | KC | R | Brady Singer | | 3.8 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 27.3 | 37.8 | 39.0 | | 0 | 24.1 | 2.1 | | -13.6 | -14.6 | -11.0 | | | | | | | | |
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Box | | -1.5 | -105 | O 9.5 | -105 | -164 | | 72 | 0mph | | 0 | PHI | L | Ranger Suarez | | 4.6 | 8.8 | 0.4 | | 60.8 | 48.0 | 29.8 | | 0 | 53.5 | 2.4 | | -1.4 | -3.3 | -21.5 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -115 | U 9.5 | -115 | 135 | | | Unknown | | 0 | ARI | R | Humberto Castellano | | 3.2 | 7.1 | 0.3 | | 39.3 | 52.1 | 70.3 | | 0 | 29.1 | 1.5 | | -3.3 | -1.4 | 16.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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Box | | 2.5 | -125 | O 8.5 | -115 | 230 | | 70 | 7mph | | 0 | PIT | R | JT Brubaker | | 3.8 | 7.9 | 0.2 | | 25.7 | 54.5 | 59.4 | | 0 | 25.7 | 2.1 | | -4.6 | -1.1 | 5.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
| | -2.5 | 105 | U 8.5 | -105 | -303 | | | Out | | 0 | LAD | R | Mitch White | | 6.2 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 74.3 | 45.5 | 40.7 | | 0 | 61.2 | 3.7 | | -0.9 | -3.3 | -10.6 | | | | | | | | |
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