Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 5-11-2021 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | -2.35 | | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 2.29 | 1.65 | | 6 | 4 | 60.0 | 1.46 | | 6 | 4 | 60.0 | 0.20 | 1.46 | | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | -4.14 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 11.82 | -0.09 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | -0.26 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 10.82 | 0.91 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 5-11-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 8.5 | -105 | 125 | | 65 | 7mph | | 2 | TEX | R | Jordan Lyles | | 4.6 | 9.4 | 0.2 | | 36.9 | 55.9 | 61.9 | | 1 | 31.7 | 2.6 | | -7.5 | -4.0 | 10.7 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 8.5 | -115 | -154 | | | Out | | 4 | SF | R | Logan Webb | | 5.6 | 9.6 | 0.2 | | 63.1 | 44.2 | 38.1 | | 2 | 57.5 | 3.7 | | 2.5 | 0.7 | -15.4 | | ● | ● | | | 0.65 | 1.30 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 7.0 | 105 | 150 | | 51 | 11mph | | 2 | CHC | R | Adbert Alzolay | | 3.5 | 6.9 | 0.3 | | 36.9 | 57.7 | 55.0 | | 2 | 31.2 | 1.8 | | -3.2 | 0.2 | 6.2 | | | ● | ● | | | 0.74 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 115 | U 7.0 | -125 | -185 | | | In | | 3 | CLE | R | Shane Bieber | | 4.5 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 63.2 | 42.4 | 45.0 | | 3 | 52.0 | 2.6 | | -1.8 | -4.2 | -10.6 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -189 | O 7.5 | -115 | 100 | | 53 | 11mph | | 2 | CIN | R | Jeff Hoffman | | 4.2 | 8.4 | 0.3 | | 53.5 | 70.7 | 49.6 | | 1 | 41.4 | 2.4 | | 3.4 | 5.3 | -3.9 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 160 | U 7.5 | -105 | -120 | | | Out | | 7 | PIT | R | JT Brubaker | | 3.7 | 8.1 | 0.3 | | 46.6 | 29.4 | 50.4 | | 4 | 41.6 | 2.2 | | -8.0 | -9.1 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 9.0 | 100 | 105 | | 63 | 8mph | | 6 | PHI | R | Chase Anderson | | 4.1 | 8.1 | 0.4 | | 42.0 | 61.4 | 43.8 | | 3 | 34.7 | 2.1 | | -6.8 | -2.8 | -6.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 9.0 | -120 | -130 | | | In | | 2 | WSH | R | Erick Fedde | | 4.7 | 8.6 | 0.3 | | 58.0 | 38.7 | 56.3 | | 0 | 49.5 | 2.7 | | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.7 | | ● | | ● | | -1 | | 0.83 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -175 | O 8.5 | -115 | 105 | | 58 | 12mph | | 3 | OAK | R | Chris Bassitt | | 5.5 | 9.7 | 0.2 | | 43.5 | 60.6 | 68.6 | | 1 | 39.2 | 3.0 | | -5.3 | -3.0 | 15.1 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 8.5 | -105 | -130 | | | Out | | 2 | BOS | R | Nathan Eovaldi | | 5.7 | 10.2 | 0.3 | | 56.5 | 39.4 | 31.5 | | 1 | 48.3 | 3.3 | | 0.0 | -0.6 | -19.8 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 7.5 | -120 | -135 | | 54 | 11mph | | 7 | KC | R | Brady Singer | | 3.6 | 7.4 | 0.3 | | 47.1 | 33.6 | 41.5 | | 0 | 36.0 | 1.7 | | -10.3 | -9.0 | -13.0 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -155 | U 7.5 | 100 | 110 | | | Out | | 8 | DET | L | Matthew Boyd | | 3.6 | 6.8 | 0.4 | | 52.9 | 66.5 | 58.5 | | 7 | 42.9 | 2.0 | | 5.3 | 5.7 | 8.5 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.10 | 0.65 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -175 | O 6.5 | -110 | 125 | | 59 | 11mph | | 2 | BAL | L | John Means | | 3.0 | 7.1 | 0.3 | | 51.2 | 73.9 | 36.8 | | 0 | 39.3 | 1.4 | | 6.7 | 10.2 | -15.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.57 | |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 6.5 | -110 | -154 | | | In | | 3 | NYM | R | Marcus Stroman | | 2.7 | 5.8 | 0.4 | | 48.9 | 26.2 | 63.2 | | 0 | 37.7 | 1.3 | | -11.8 | -13.9 | 10.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 130 | O 8.0 | -110 | -135 | | 72 | 0mph | | 3 | NYY | L | Jordan Montgomery | | 5.1 | 8.9 | 0.2 | | 55.7 | 42.2 | 58.2 | | 2 | 44.2 | 2.8 | | -1.8 | -1.3 | 5.8 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -149 | U 8.0 | -110 | 110 | | | Unknown | | 1 | TB | R | Luis Patino | | 4.4 | 8.2 | 0.1 | | 44.4 | 57.9 | 41.8 | | 1 | 41.4 | 2.6 | | -3.3 | -2.0 | -10.6 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 130 | O 9.0 | -110 | -110 | | 71 | 5mph | | 5 | TOR | L | Robbie Ray | | 5.1 | 9.4 | 0.4 | | 45.9 | 34.4 | 56.8 | | 0 | 39.7 | 2.8 | | -6.5 | -9.1 | 4.4 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -149 | U 9.0 | -110 | -110 | | | Out | | 3 | ATL | R | Bryse Wilson | | 5.2 | 7.6 | 0.2 | | 54.1 | 65.7 | 43.2 | | 2 | 47.0 | 3.1 | | 1.7 | 5.8 | -9.2 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -200 | O 7.0 | -115 | 110 | | 72 | 0mph | | 6 | STL | L | Kwang Hyun Kim | | 4.0 | 7.3 | 0.3 | | 55.3 | 74.4 | 46.6 | | 0 | 45.0 | 2.0 | | 7.7 | 7.7 | -6.9 | | ● | ● | | | 1.10 | 0.50 | |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 7.0 | -105 | -135 | | | Unknown | | 1 | MIL | R | Freddy Peralta | | 3.3 | 7.4 | 0.3 | | 44.7 | 25.6 | 53.4 | | 0 | 34.1 | 1.7 | | -12.7 | -11.4 | 2.2 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -200 | O 7.5 | -105 | 105 | | 48 | 7mph | | 3 | MIN | R | Kenta Maeda | | 3.9 | 7.1 | 0.2 | | 42.2 | 61.7 | 53.7 | | 3 | 35.5 | 2.1 | | -6.6 | -5.0 | 2.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.95 |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 7.5 | -115 | -125 | | | L-R | | 9 | CWS | R | Dylan Cease | | 4.5 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 57.9 | 38.3 | 46.4 | | 3 | 47.4 | 2.5 | | 2.3 | 1.3 | -7.1 | | ● | ● | | | 0.80 | 1.70 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 8.5 | -125 | 120 | | 72 | 0mph | | 1 | LAA | R | Shohei Ohtani | | 4.8 | 8.6 | 0.4 | | 47.0 | 65.4 | 56.3 | | 0 | 42.1 | 2.5 | | 1.5 | 5.6 | 0.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 8.5 | 105 | -145 | | | Unknown | | 5 | HOU | R | Lance McCullers Jr. | | 4.8 | 8.1 | 0.2 | | 53.1 | 34.6 | 43.8 | | 1 | 45.1 | 2.8 | | -6.1 | -8.9 | -5.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -121 | O 9.0 | -114 | -205 | | 42 | 5mph | | 8 | SD | R | Dinelson Lamet | | 5.3 | 9.7 | 0.4 | | 67.0 | 52.8 | 41.3 | | 2 | 56.2 | 2.9 | | -0.3 | -2.0 | -12.0 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | 102 | U 9.0 | -106 | 170 | | | R-L | | 1 | COL | R | Antonio Senzatela | | 3.3 | 7.6 | 0.5 | | 33.1 | 47.3 | 58.7 | | 1 | 27.8 | 1.7 | | -4.0 | -2.3 | 7.2 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -200 | O 8.0 | -110 | -105 | | 72 | 0mph | | 3 | MIA | R | Pablo Lopez | | 4.0 | 7.7 | 0.4 | | 52.1 | 72.1 | 41.6 | | 0 | 41.3 | 2.0 | | 0.8 | 5.4 | -10.8 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 8.0 | -110 | -115 | | | Unknown | | 11 | ARI | L | Madison Bumgarner | | 3.6 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 48.0 | 27.9 | 58.5 | | 6 | 40.6 | 1.9 | | -5.5 | -9.1 | 6.1 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -115 | O 7.0 | -110 | 200 | | 66 | 7mph | | 4 | SEA | L | Yusei Kikuchi | | 3.9 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 33.1 | 51.7 | 64.2 | | 3 | 30.6 | 1.9 | | -0.3 | -1.8 | 11.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | -105 | U 7.0 | -110 | -250 | | | Out | | 6 | LAD | R | Walker Buehler | | 5.4 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 67.0 | 48.3 | 35.8 | | 1 | 52.5 | 2.9 | | -4.5 | -2.9 | -16.6 | | | | | | | | |
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