Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs



May23456789101112131415161718192021222324
June234567891011121314151617181920212223
August1112131418

Results

MoneylineRun Line(1.5)OversUnders
WL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey Unit
5-13-20213537.5-2.072166.73.031.313633.3-3.37010.014.65-1.002433.3-2.132166.78.100.872166.70.7810100.011.020.91
Last 14767550.3-7.8410100.019.590.80827552.2-1.5710100.021.281.45393453.41.52373154.40.532.61283941.8-13.9410100.019.820.91
Year to Date23126846.3-59.42716452.67.67-0.3425625849.8-34.471150.021.280.4516213554.511.40755159.58.0816.839310447.2-20.60010.021.23-1.00

The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.

Games Of 5-13-2021

BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box1.5-141O 8.5-115140627mph8TORRRoss Stripling5.19.60.444.759.863.3335.92.83.01.39.81.400.710.87
-1.5120U 8.5-105-164L-R4ATLRCharlie Morton5.48.70.255.340.236.8251.83.5-6.8-5.3-14.5
Box-1.5150O 8.0-120-110677mph1PHIRZach Eflin5.99.90.368.354.762.2163.23.815.914.77.6-1-1-1
1.5-179U 8.0100-110In5WSHLPatrick Corbin3.99.40.331.745.437.8425.82.2-20.7-18.8-12.2
Box1.5-200O 9.0-105-110653mph3KCLDaniel Lynch4.78.20.342.358.755.0130.92.4-10.1-8.03.7-1
-1.5170U 9.0-115-110Out4DETRSpencer Turnbull5.48.80.457.841.345.1455.73.65.44.3-8.40.91-1
Box1.5-192O 6.5-110125720mph2STLRJack Flaherty2.66.40.341.264.836.6127.71.1-3.2-1.0-15.8
-1.5160U 6.5-110-145Unknown0MILRCorbin Burnes3.06.10.358.835.363.4045.21.6-0.4-3.211.00.91
Box1.5-179O 7.5100120626mph2MINRMichael Pineda4.18.00.246.066.250.8139.72.10.52.00.8-1-1-1
-1.5150U 7.5-120-141In4CWSRLance Lynn4.28.30.354.033.849.2244.02.3-4.5-6.2-5.3
Box-1.5105O 8.0100-161636mph3SFRAnthony DeSclafan5.08.40.262.750.548.5357.62.91.01.7-1.60.621.05
1.5-125U 8.0-120135Out1PITRWil Crowe3.47.80.337.349.551.6027.31.7-5.3-6.1-3.0
Box1.5-196O 9.0-105-105644mph1OAKLSean Manaea5.69.20.249.966.962.7044.83.1-1.30.611.4-10.00
-1.5165U 9.0-115-115Out8BOSRGarrett Richards5.410.70.350.133.237.4742.23.1-3.4-4.6-16.1
Box-1.5125O 8.0100-135720mph1NYYRJameson Taillon5.39.00.259.246.658.1048.92.91.82.28.1-1-11.00
1.5-145U 8.0-120115Unknown9TBLRich Hill4.27.50.240.853.441.9437.22.4-5.7-5.8-12.6
Box1.5-115O 8.5-125170796mph3TEXRMike Foltynewicz4.88.40.336.854.666.4331.32.5-0.21.110.80.87-1
-1.5-105U 8.5105-217R-L4HOURCristian Javier5.910.10.263.245.533.6355.43.6-5.3-5.8-15.2
Box-1.5105O 11.0-120-145737mph8CINRLuis Castillo6.110.40.360.348.344.1049.93.31.1-0.5-10.4-1
1.5-125U 11.0100125L-R13COLRChi Chi Gonzalez4.89.90.439.851.855.9936.72.7-4.7-3.85.9-1
BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box-1.5130O 8.5-105-135720mph5MIALTrevor Rogers4.48.70.454.943.142.2146.22.3-2.6-0.4-9.1
1.5-149U 8.5-115115Unknown1ARIRMerrill Kelly3.77.40.345.256.957.9135.51.9-1.4-2.94.40.87
Box-1.5140O 7.5-110-125677mph4CLERZach Plesac4.38.20.451.037.351.8440.62.2-4.6-4.4-0.6
1.5-164U 7.5-110105In2SEARLogan Gilbert4.08.20.349.162.748.3042.52.30.30.6-4.1-1-1