Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs



May23456789101112131415161718192021222324
June234567891011121314151617181920212223
August1112131418

Results

MoneylineRun Line(1.5)OversUnders
WL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey Unit
5-14-202161037.5-3.493260.06.300.7151033.3-6.05010.023.28-1.006554.50.163260.09.200.652340.0-1.33010.018.33-1.00
Last 14767550.3-7.8410100.019.590.80827552.2-1.5710100.021.281.45393453.41.52373154.40.532.61283941.8-13.9410100.019.820.91
Year to Date23126846.3-59.42716452.67.67-0.3425625849.8-34.471150.021.280.4516213554.511.40755159.58.0816.839310447.2-20.60010.021.23-1.00

The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.

Games Of 5-14-2021

BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box1.5-125O 6.0-130185666mph6KCRBrad Keller3.25.70.236.757.660.3531.92.31.62.03.81.850.800.77
-1.5105U 6.0110-205In2CWSRLucas Giolito4.27.40.263.342.539.7254.43.2-3.9-6.3-7.9
Box-1.5-120O 7.5105-200674mph2SFRKevin Gausman4.68.00.268.954.939.9058.32.42.20.4-8.9-1-1
1.5100U 7.5-125170Out3PITRMiguel Yajure2.56.60.331.245.160.2022.21.2-5.9-4.94.60.80
Box-1.5-110O 8.5-120-185694mph5NYYRCorey Kluber5.59.60.359.847.857.0252.63.3-5.1-4.62.40.83
1.5-110U 8.5100155Out4BALRDean Kremer4.18.00.340.252.343.1433.72.51.0-0.1-7.0-1
Box1.5-172O 9.5-115105684mph3LAARGriffin Canning5.29.60.441.457.857.5035.22.8-7.4-5.54.0-1
-1.5145U 9.5-105-125Out4BOSRNick Pivetta5.89.40.358.742.342.5253.63.63.11.4-8.70.80-1
Box-1.5120O 9.0100-135687mph4CHCRJake Arrieta6.49.60.363.954.163.5459.64.06.48.613.50.741.20-1
1.5-141U 9.0-120115In2DETLTarik Skubal4.58.70.436.246.036.5029.52.6-10.4-12.6-18.1
Box1.5-149O 6.5-120135720mph2NYMLDavid Peterson2.86.30.428.246.857.4221.21.3-14.4-13.02.9-1
-1.5130U 6.5100-161Unknown3TBRTyler Glasnow4.88.00.171.853.242.6061.92.910.19.7-7.40.62-1
Box1.5-135O 10.5-1151358013mph5PHIRVince Velasquez6.211.10.348.964.560.1044.43.76.37.06.61.350.74-1
-1.5115U 10.5-105-161In1TORLSteven Matz6.09.60.451.235.639.9044.13.8-10.5-11.0-11.3
Box1.5-192O 7.5-110115720mph6ATLLDrew Smyly4.98.70.250.469.762.0445.52.73.93.99.61.150.520.91
-1.5160U 7.5-110-135Unknown3MILRAdrian Houser4.48.30.449.630.438.1141.12.6-7.8-8.1-14.3
Box-1.5145O 8.5-120-110599mph6OAKRFrankie Montas6.09.30.244.233.677.0339.33.5-8.2-7.222.5-1
1.5-172U 8.5100-110R-L1MINRMatt Shoemaker6.410.60.255.966.423.0050.24.13.53.2-27.0-1-1
Box1.5100O 9.0-110180799mph4TEXLWes Benjamin5.510.50.343.460.666.5235.33.07.710.614.1-1-10.91
-1.5-120U 9.0-110-227Out10HOURZack Greinke6.010.80.256.639.433.51050.23.7-12.8-15.1-18.9
BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box1.5-140O 6.5-105165626mph1KCRJakob Junis3.05.80.242.063.545.8135.02.04.25.1-5.5-1-1
-1.5120U 6.5-115-180In3CWSRMichael Kopech3.56.70.358.136.654.3350.12.7-6.2-8.90.80.87
Box1.5-196O 10.5-115-105686mph6CINLWade Miley5.910.10.377.689.530.5267.93.326.323.3-23.0-1-1
-1.5165U 10.5-105-115Out9COLRGerman Marquez2.86.60.422.510.569.6818.51.3-31.0-27.218.3-1
Box-1.5-125O 9.0100-196720mph17WSHRMax Scherzer4.29.50.359.844.330.71148.92.2-6.5-11.3-19.3
1.5105U 9.0-120165Unknown2ARIRRiley Smith3.26.70.440.355.769.3032.21.62.56.914.8-1-1-1
Box-1.5145O 7.5-110-115687mph3CLERAaron Civale4.89.60.455.941.957.0145.22.52.41.14.6-1-10.91
1.5-172U 7.5-110-105In7SEARChris Flexen4.17.90.344.258.143.1339.42.3-7.1-5.1-9.3
Box1.5-115O 6.5-120185638mph6MIARSandy Alcantara3.78.10.437.657.463.8533.01.92.53.99.2-1-10.83
-1.5-105U 6.5100-238Out9LADLClayton Kershaw4.67.80.362.442.636.3849.82.5-8.0-8.6-13.8
Box1.5-145O 7.0105160627mph4STLRJohan Oviedo3.26.90.343.965.941.2131.41.55.46.7-7.6-10.69
-1.5125U 7.0-125-192L-R5SDRJoe Musgrove3.56.70.456.234.158.8348.42.2-9.6-10.33.2-1