Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 5-15-2021 | 2 | 8 | 20.0 | -5.80 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 7.90 | 0.20 | | 8 | 6 | 57.1 | 0.88 | | 8 | 6 | 57.1 | 0.26 | 0.88 | | 6 | 0 | 100.0 | 5.64 | | 6 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.50 | 5.64 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | -0.33 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 1.75 | -0.33 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 5-15-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 7.5 | -115 | 135 | | 72 | 0mph | | 5 | NYM | L | Joey Lucchesi | | 4.2 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 39.4 | 57.2 | 60.4 | | 4 | 34.5 | 2.3 | | -3.2 | -4.5 | 6.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | 135 | U 7.5 | -105 | -161 | | | Unknown | | 12 | TB | L | Shane McClanahan | | 5.0 | 8.9 | 0.2 | | 60.6 | 42.9 | 39.6 | | 6 | 52.0 | 3.0 | | -1.1 | 0.3 | -11.6 | | | ● | | | | 1.35 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 8.5 | -110 | 125 | | 69 | 4mph | | 4 | OAK | L | Cole Irvin | | 5.1 | 8.3 | 0.2 | | 48.8 | 65.4 | 61.3 | | 4 | 42.4 | 2.7 | | 4.4 | 5.6 | 8.9 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.67 | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 8.5 | -110 | -145 | | | L-R | | 5 | MIN | R | Jose Berrios | | 5.0 | 9.3 | 0.2 | | 51.2 | 34.6 | 38.8 | | 1 | 43.8 | 2.8 | | -8.0 | -8.9 | -13.6 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 9.5 | -110 | -115 | | 71 | 7mph | | 0 | LAA | R | Dylan Bundy | | 5.2 | 10.0 | 0.4 | | 49.0 | 38.1 | 49.6 | | 0 | 42.0 | 2.8 | | -4.5 | -4.5 | -2.8 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -161 | U 9.5 | -110 | -105 | | | Out | | 9 | BOS | L | Martin Perez | | 4.9 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 51.1 | 62.0 | 50.4 | | 7 | 44.3 | 2.8 | | -0.2 | 0.3 | -2.0 | | | ● | | | | 0.62 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 115 | O 9.0 | 100 | -141 | | 71 | 7mph | | 8 | CHC | R | Trevor Williams | | 5.1 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 46.7 | 36.3 | 59.3 | | 7 | 32.9 | 2.6 | | -11.9 | -10.2 | 9.3 | | | | ● | | | | 1.00 |
| | 1.5 | -135 | U 9.0 | -120 | 120 | | | In | | 9 | DET | R | Jose Urena | | 5.4 | 9.1 | 0.4 | | 53.4 | 63.7 | 40.7 | | 6 | 53.9 | 3.4 | | 7.9 | 6.3 | -13.8 | | ● | ● | | | 1.20 | 0.74 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 7.5 | -120 | -120 | | 68 | 3mph | | 6 | SF | R | Johnny Cueto | | 3.8 | 7.9 | 0.2 | | 46.2 | 33.3 | 46.6 | | 4 | 37.4 | 1.9 | | -8.4 | -9.3 | -8.0 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -161 | U 7.5 | 100 | 100 | | | Out | | 8 | PIT | L | Tyler Anderson | | 3.9 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 53.9 | 66.8 | 53.5 | | 2 | 45.7 | 2.3 | | 3.8 | 5.1 | 3.4 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.00 | 0.62 | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -105 | O 8.5 | -120 | -161 | | 71 | 4mph | | 8 | NYY | R | Domingo German | | 4.9 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 55.4 | 41.3 | 51.6 | | 5 | 46.1 | 2.8 | | -6.3 | -10.0 | -2.9 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -115 | U 8.5 | 100 | 135 | | | Out | | 2 | BAL | R | Jorge Lopez | | 4.1 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 44.7 | 58.8 | 48.4 | | 0 | 39.4 | 2.5 | | 2.1 | 5.3 | -1.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -125 | O 8.0 | 100 | 160 | | 58 | 8mph | | 5 | KC | L | Mike Minor | | 3.0 | 6.2 | 0.3 | | 29.9 | 48.8 | 43.2 | | 4 | 24.3 | 1.5 | | -8.6 | -6.8 | -6.9 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 105 | U 8.0 | -120 | -192 | | | In | | 1 | CWS | L | Carlos Rodon | | 4.8 | 7.6 | 0.4 | | 70.2 | 51.2 | 56.9 | | 1 | 61.7 | 3.0 | | 4.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.83 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 145 | O 8.0 | 100 | -125 | | 72 | 0mph | | 5 | ATL | R | Ian Anderson | | 4.3 | 8.2 | 0.2 | | 54.6 | 41.2 | 43.7 | | 4 | 45.3 | 2.2 | | -1.0 | 0.3 | -6.3 | | | ● | | | | 1.45 | |
| | 1.5 | -172 | U 8.0 | -120 | 105 | | | Unknown | | 1 | MIL | L | Brett Anderson | | 3.6 | 7.6 | 0.4 | | 45.4 | 58.9 | 56.3 | | 0 | 35.5 | 1.8 | | -3.4 | -4.4 | 1.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.83 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 8.5 | -110 | 145 | | 79 | 13mph | | 5 | TEX | R | Dane Dunning | | 4.8 | 8.4 | 0.3 | | 46.3 | 64.2 | 54.8 | | 1 | 40.9 | 2.5 | | 5.4 | 6.8 | 2.4 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.74 | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | 115 | U 8.5 | -110 | -172 | | | Out | | 6 | HOU | R | Luis Garcia | | 4.8 | 9.9 | 0.1 | | 53.8 | 35.8 | 45.2 | | 4 | 44.3 | 2.7 | | -9.5 | -10.7 | -7.2 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 110 | O 9.5 | -115 | -141 | | 81 | 14mph | | 0 | PHI | R | Aaron Nola | | 6.3 | 10.9 | 0.3 | | 68.1 | 57.5 | 52.1 | | 0 | 64.8 | 4.0 | | 9.6 | 9.9 | -1.4 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | 1.5 | -132 | U 9.5 | -105 | 120 | | | R-L | | 4 | TOR | L | Anthony Kay | | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.4 | | 31.9 | 42.5 | 47.9 | | 3 | 23.0 | 2.1 | | -13.6 | -14.4 | -3.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -115 | O 11.0 | 100 | -179 | | 64 | 7mph | | 6 | CIN | R | Tyler Mahle | | 6.2 | 10.2 | 0.2 | | 63.6 | 52.8 | 43.3 | | 2 | 56.1 | 3.6 | | -0.6 | -0.7 | -6.7 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -105 | U 11.0 | -120 | 150 | | | R-L | | 5 | COL | R | Jhoulys Chacin | | 4.5 | 8.2 | 0.4 | | 36.4 | 47.2 | 56.7 | | 2 | 32.7 | 2.5 | | -3.6 | -4.0 | 2.1 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 125 | O 9.5 | -120 | -125 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | WSH | R | Joe Ross | | 4.4 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 51.4 | 38.5 | 33.3 | | 2 | 40.1 | 2.2 | | -4.2 | -5.9 | -21.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -145 | U 9.5 | 100 | 105 | | | Unknown | | 11 | ARI | R | Seth Frankoff | | 3.9 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 48.7 | 61.5 | 66.7 | | 8 | 42.0 | 2.2 | | -0.1 | 2.3 | 16.7 | | | ● | ● | | | 0.69 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -192 | O 7.0 | 100 | 115 | | 62 | 10mph | | 3 | STL | R | Adam Wainwright | | 3.9 | 8.2 | 0.3 | | 52.2 | 72.5 | 50.5 | | 1 | 44.3 | 2.2 | | 5.6 | 6.7 | 0.5 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 1.00 |
| | -1.5 | 160 | U 7.0 | -120 | -135 | | | L-R | | 13 | SD | R | Chris Paddack | | 3.6 | 7.4 | 0.4 | | 47.9 | 27.5 | 49.5 | | 6 | 38.7 | 2.0 | | -9.6 | -11.0 | -5.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 145 | O 8.5 | -105 | -110 | | 71 | 7mph | | 3 | CLE | R | Triston McKenzie | | 5.3 | 9.7 | 0.3 | | 54.0 | 41.8 | 59.3 | | 0 | 45.4 | 2.9 | | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8.1 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.95 |
| | 1.5 | -172 | U 8.5 | -115 | -110 | | | In | | 7 | SEA | L | Justus Sheffield | | 4.7 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 46.0 | 58.3 | 40.7 | | 5 | 41.3 | 2.9 | | -6.4 | -5.0 | -12.8 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | 130 | O 7.5 | -105 | 250 | | 64 | 9mph | | 0 | MIA | R | Jordan Holloway | | 3.2 | 5.9 | 0.3 | | 28.7 | 47.6 | 50.8 | | 0 | 23.4 | 1.5 | | 0.1 | 4.1 | -0.4 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | -150 | U 7.5 | -115 | -300 | | | Out | | 7 | LAD | R | Trevor Bauer | | 5.0 | 8.5 | 0.2 | | 71.3 | 52.5 | 49.2 | | 4 | 59.6 | 3.0 | | -3.7 | -7.6 | -4.3 | | | | | | | | |
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