Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 5-17-2021 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | -0.08 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 8.92 | 1.30 | | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | -3.02 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 8.31 | -0.42 | | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | -0.31 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 18.54 | 0.87 | | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | -2.00 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 10.96 | -1.00 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 5-17-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -172 | O 8.0 | -115 | 115 | | 69 | 7mph | | 6 | SF | R | Logan Webb | | 5.1 | 8.4 | 0.2 | | 38.0 | 53.9 | 72.0 | | 4 | 31.5 | 2.7 | | -8.5 | -9.3 | 18.5 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 8.0 | -105 | -135 | | | In | | 3 | CIN | R | Sonny Gray | | 6.3 | 10.0 | 0.2 | | 62.0 | 46.1 | 28.0 | | 0 | 58.1 | 4.0 | | 4.6 | 5.3 | -23.2 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -172 | O 8.0 | -105 | 130 | | 77 | 7mph | | 3 | NYM | R | Taijuan Walker | | 5.2 | 10.8 | 0.4 | | 52.4 | 71.6 | 62.5 | | 0 | 53.1 | 3.1 | | 8.9 | 8.3 | 11.3 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.30 | 0.58 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 8.0 | -115 | -149 | | | In | | 1 | ATL | L | Max Fried | | 4.6 | 8.5 | 0.2 | | 47.6 | 28.5 | 37.5 | | 0 | 33.1 | 2.3 | | -12.2 | -12.4 | -16.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 9.5 | -105 | -110 | | 76 | 9mph | | 16 | CWS | L | Dallas Keuchel | | 5.4 | 9.8 | 0.4 | | 53.8 | 40.9 | 52.4 | | 10 | 48.6 | 3.2 | | 1.4 | -1.7 | 1.2 | | ● | | ● | | 0.91 | | 0.95 |
| | 1.5 | -161 | U 9.5 | -115 | -110 | | | In | | 4 | MIN | L | J.A. Happ | | 4.9 | 9.2 | 0.2 | | 46.2 | 59.2 | 47.6 | | 1 | 37.7 | 2.8 | | -6.2 | -2.5 | -5.9 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 8.0 | -115 | 135 | | 60 | 9mph | | 3 | WSH | L | Jon Lester | | 3.6 | 7.5 | 0.3 | | 39.8 | 59.2 | 44.8 | | 3 | 30.8 | 1.7 | | -2.8 | -0.7 | -8.7 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 8.0 | -105 | -161 | | | In | | 7 | CHC | R | Adbert Alzolay | | 4.4 | 8.4 | 0.3 | | 60.3 | 40.9 | 55.2 | | 4 | 51.8 | 2.5 | | -1.4 | -2.6 | 4.0 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -172 | O 8.0 | -110 | -294 | | 72 | 0mph | | 2 | NYY | R | Gerrit Cole | | 5.7 | 10.4 | 0.2 | | 78.6 | 67.5 | 47.7 | | 1 | 75.0 | 3.7 | | 3.9 | 4.3 | -4.7 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | 1.5 | 145 | U 8.0 | -110 | 230 | | | Unknown | | 5 | TEX | R | Jordan Lyles | | 2.5 | 7.1 | 0.3 | | 21.5 | 32.5 | 52.4 | | 4 | 13.9 | 1.2 | | -8.9 | -8.3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -164 | O 9.0 | -115 | 120 | | 65 | 12mph | | 4 | CLE | L | Sam Hentges | | 4.8 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 37.5 | 54.8 | 59.6 | | 2 | 36.3 | 2.8 | | -8.0 | -7.3 | 6.1 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | 140 | U 9.0 | -105 | -141 | | | Out | | 7 | LAA | L | Patrick Sandoval | | 5.8 | 9.9 | 0.4 | | 62.5 | 45.2 | 40.4 | | 6 | 51.4 | 3.5 | | 4.0 | 3.5 | -10.8 | | ● | ● | | | 0.71 | 1.40 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 7.5 | -115 | 155 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | DET | R | Casey Mize | | 4.5 | 8.4 | 0.4 | | 36.0 | 54.2 | 67.6 | | 3 | 32.1 | 2.4 | | -3.2 | -4.3 | 14.1 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 7.5 | -105 | -185 | | | Unknown | | 1 | SEA | L | Yusei Kikuchi | | 5.7 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 64.0 | 45.8 | 32.5 | | 0 | 56.4 | 3.4 | | -0.9 | 0.3 | -18.8 | | | ● | | | | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -115 | O 7.0 | 100 | 180 | | 62 | 7mph | | 1 | ARI | L | Madison Bumgarner | | 3.2 | 7.0 | 0.3 | | 32.7 | 54.2 | 51.7 | | 0 | 34.6 | 1.6 | | -3.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | -105 | U 7.0 | -120 | -227 | | | Out | | 3 | LAD | R | Walker Buehler | | 4.5 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 67.4 | 45.9 | 48.3 | | 2 | 44.8 | 2.0 | | -2.1 | -5.4 | -6.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 6.5 | -105 | 175 | | 61 | 9mph | | 0 | COL | R | Jon Gray | | 2.8 | 5.9 | 0.4 | | 45.3 | 70.4 | 35.6 | | 0 | 38.6 | 1.4 | | 8.9 | 12.9 | -15.7 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 115 | U 6.5 | -115 | -222 | | | L-R | | 7 | SD | R | Yu Darvish | | 2.9 | 5.8 | 0.4 | | 54.8 | 29.7 | 64.5 | | 5 | 38.4 | 1.4 | | -14.2 | -16.9 | 11.0 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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