Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs



May23456789101112131415161718192021222324
June234567891011121314151617181920212223
August1112131418

Results

MoneylineRun Line(1.5)OversUnders
WL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey Unit
5-19-20214736.4-3.623350.05.19-0.426746.2-2.472250.08.95-0.724450.0-0.394180.06.002.613260.00.7320100.08.681.82
Last 14767550.3-7.8410100.019.590.80827552.2-1.5710100.021.281.45393453.41.52373154.40.532.61283941.8-13.9410100.019.820.91
Year to Date23126846.3-59.42716452.67.67-0.3425625849.8-34.471150.021.280.4516213554.511.40755159.58.0816.839310447.2-20.60010.021.23-1.00

The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.

Games Of 5-19-2021

BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box-1.5125O 9.0-105-125718mph2CWSRLucas Giolito6.110.90.360.048.263.9153.63.74.43.712.70.80-1-1
1.5-145U 9.0-115105R-L1MINRMatt Shoemaker4.89.10.240.051.936.1135.32.8-8.8-7.3-17.4
Box1.5105O 7.5-115230689mph0COLRChi Chi Gonzalez3.16.20.434.056.840.1030.41.53.68.0-13.4-1-1
-1.5-125U 7.5-105-294Out3SDRJoe Musgrove4.27.90.466.143.359.9153.52.4-8.6-12.38.70.95
Box-1.5145O 8.5-110-120815mph4SFRKevin Gausman4.47.80.247.336.447.1140.12.2-7.2-4.4-5.3
1.5-172U 8.5-110100In0CINLWade Miley4.37.90.352.763.653.0043.82.32.70.40.6-1-10.91
Box1.5-200O 8.0-110100824mph9TBLRyan Yarbrough3.36.90.230.849.046.8324.71.5-19.3-17.7-5.6
-1.5170U 8.0-110-120Out7BALLJohn Means4.910.10.369.351.053.2659.02.914.714.00.8-1-1-1
Box1.5-196O 7.5-110115835mph3MIALTrevor Rogers4.710.00.351.769.858.1142.82.55.23.65.71.150.51-1
-1.5165U 7.5-110-135In1PHIRZach Eflin4.38.00.448.330.242.0040.92.4-9.1-7.5-10.4
Box1.5-132O 7.5-1201607611mph4NYMLDavid Peterson4.19.00.336.956.360.6133.72.2-1.6-0.66.00.83
-1.5110U 7.5100-192In5ATLRCharlie Morton5.08.20.263.143.739.5349.82.7-2.7-3.9-10.6
Box1.5-164O 9.5-1151108319mph7BOSRGarrett Richards7.212.40.360.073.473.3658.44.512.411.219.81.100.610.87
-1.5140U 9.5-105-132Out3TORRRoss Stripling5.810.50.440.026.726.8130.53.2-16.9-15.0-24.5
Box-1.5100O 9.0-105-1617314mph4WSHRMax Scherzer4.39.00.255.943.335.0449.62.3-5.8-6.8-16.2
1.5-120U 9.0-115135Out3CHCRJake Arrieta3.56.50.444.156.865.0233.91.71.52.211.5-10.830.87
Box1.5-105O 7.0-1251907612mph5PITRTrevor Cahill2.87.20.331.151.045.3224.51.3-3.4-0.3-10.3
-1.5-115U 7.0105-238R-L8STLRJack Flaherty4.39.00.368.949.154.8857.22.5-1.5-4.46.0-1
Box-1.5-110O 9.0100-179768mph2NYYRCorey Kluber4.58.90.245.634.349.1037.12.5-18.6-18.1-0.9
1.5-110U 9.0-120150R-L0TEXLHyeon-Jong Yang4.89.50.354.465.850.9049.43.114.413.4-3.6-1-1
BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box1.5-196O 8.0-1101007110mph3CLERAaron Civale4.68.00.349.468.553.3241.22.5-0.62.20.90.51-1
-1.5165U 8.0-110-120Out2LAARShohei Ohtani4.38.90.450.631.646.7242.12.5-3.9-6.2-5.7
Box-1.5-110O 7.5100-192699mph4MILRCorbin Burnes6.010.70.270.360.162.7266.43.54.57.712.7-1-11.00
1.5-110U 7.5-120160R-L6KCRBrad Keller3.57.90.329.739.937.3220.81.6-8.8-12.5-17.2
Box-1.5140O 8.5-110-1205816mph8HOURZack Greinke5.610.80.252.842.463.4248.03.2-1.80.711.01.400.91
1.5-164U 8.5-110100Out1OAKRFrankie Montas4.99.30.347.357.736.7140.32.9-2.8-4.5-15.7
Box1.5-164O 8.0-105130566mph6DETLTarik Skubal4.68.60.434.149.668.8528.42.5-9.4-12.517.50.00
-1.5140U 8.0-115-149In2SEARLogan Gilbert6.28.80.366.050.431.3260.44.06.18.7-22.2-1-1
Box1.5130O 7.5-115260677mph2ARIRMerrill Kelly2.67.10.315.431.156.1214.61.3-12.4-12.42.6-1
-1.5-150U 7.5-105-300Out4LADLClayton Kershaw6.19.80.384.669.043.9172.83.89.69.0-7.30.330.67