Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 5-2-2021 | 2 | 9 | 18.2 | -7.88 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 14.99 | -1.00 | | 0 | 10 | 0.0 | -10.00 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 15.05 | -1.00 | | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | 0.52 | | 3 | 0 | 100.0 | 8.56 | 2.57 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | -0.17 | | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 10.70 | 0.83 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 5-2-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | 110 | O 9.0 | -105 | 215 | | 74 | 11mph | | 0 | DET | R | Jose Urena | | 4.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | | 44.9 | 61.2 | 56.5 | | 0 | 45.0 | 3.0 | | 13.1 | 13.6 | 5.3 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | -130 | U 9.0 | -115 | -244 | | | Out | | 2 | NYY | R | Corey Kluber | | 5.2 | 8.5 | 0.2 | | 55.2 | 38.8 | 43.5 | | 2 | 40.5 | 2.9 | | -15.8 | -17.7 | -10.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 7.0 | -105 | 147 | | 80 | 10mph | | 1 | MIA | L | Trevor Rogers | | 4.1 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 49.2 | 68.6 | 56.4 | | 0 | 40.8 | 2.1 | | 8.7 | 6.9 | 5.2 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 140 | U 7.0 | -115 | -156 | | | Out | | 3 | WSH | R | Max Scherzer | | 4.0 | 7.9 | 0.2 | | 50.8 | 31.4 | 43.6 | | 3 | 42.4 | 2.3 | | -10.1 | -10.3 | -9.9 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 120 | O 8.5 | -120 | -130 | | 75 | 9mph | | 3 | STL | R | Carlos Martinez | | 4.0 | 7.8 | 0.3 | | 52.9 | 39.7 | 39.3 | | 3 | 45.3 | 2.3 | | -3.7 | -5.8 | -15.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -141 | U 8.5 | 100 | 120 | | | R-L | | 0 | PIT | R | Wil Crowe | | 3.7 | 8.0 | 0.3 | | 47.2 | 60.4 | 60.7 | | 0 | 37.5 | 2.1 | | 1.7 | 1.8 | 10.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 1.00 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 120 | O 11.0 | 100 | -125 | | 83 | 12mph | | 2 | ATL | R | Ian Anderson | | 7.1 | 11.7 | 0.2 | | 70.6 | 60.5 | 48.8 | | 2 | 70.6 | 4.5 | | 15.0 | 15.0 | -1.2 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | 1.5 | -141 | U 11.0 | -120 | 115 | | | R-L | | 7 | TOR | R | Ross Stripling | | 4.3 | 8.0 | 0.4 | | 29.5 | 39.5 | 51.2 | | 4 | 18.8 | 2.1 | | -17.1 | -19.0 | -3.4 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 8.5 | -120 | 147 | | 77 | 11mph | | 12 | CHC | R | Trevor Williams | | 4.5 | 7.5 | 0.2 | | 27.3 | 42.2 | 69.2 | | 5 | 21.4 | 2.1 | | -13.2 | -16.4 | 14.6 | | | | ● | | | | 0.83 |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 8.5 | 100 | -156 | | | R-L | | 13 | CIN | R | Tyler Mahle | | 6.8 | 10.0 | 0.3 | | 72.8 | 57.9 | 30.9 | | 6 | 67.5 | 4.4 | | 11.8 | 12.4 | -19.2 | | ● | ● | | | 0.64 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 125 | O 8.0 | -115 | -125 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | HOU | R | Cristian Javier | | 5.7 | 10.3 | 0.1 | | 54.5 | 42.7 | 67.4 | | 3 | 47.2 | 3.1 | | -1.1 | -1.7 | 13.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | 1.5 | -145 | U 8.0 | -105 | 115 | | | Unknown | | 5 | TB | R | Michael Wacha | | 4.9 | 8.6 | 0.2 | | 45.5 | 57.3 | 32.7 | | 3 | 39.6 | 2.8 | | -1.0 | -1.9 | -18.6 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 8.5 | 100 | 147 | | 75 | 14mph | | 5 | CLE | R | Zach Plesac | | 2.9 | 6.9 | 0.3 | | 32.5 | 53.2 | 33.1 | | 2 | 26.4 | 1.5 | | -8.0 | -5.4 | -16.9 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 8.5 | -120 | -156 | | | R-L | | 0 | CWS | R | Lucas Giolito | | 4.3 | 9.1 | 0.4 | | 67.6 | 46.9 | 66.9 | | 0 | 54.2 | 2.4 | | 6.6 | 1.4 | 12.4 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.83 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -125 | O 8.5 | -120 | -196 | | 79 | 14mph | | 16 | LAD | L | Julio Urias | | 5.1 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 64.3 | 50.6 | 46.0 | | 11 | 54.9 | 2.7 | | -1.9 | -5.0 | -8.6 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | 105 | U 8.5 | 100 | 175 | | | R-L | | 4 | MIL | R | Alec Bettinger | | 3.4 | 7.8 | 0.3 | | 35.7 | 49.4 | 54.1 | | 1 | 29.6 | 1.7 | | -0.7 | 0.6 | 4.0 | | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -110 | O 8.5 | -115 | 190 | | 71 | 12mph | | 4 | KC | R | Brad Keller | | 4.2 | 8.2 | 0.3 | | 32.3 | 49.9 | 62.1 | | 4 | 28.5 | 2.2 | | -2.2 | -2.5 | 8.6 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | -110 | U 8.5 | -105 | -208 | | | In | | 13 | MIN | R | Jose Berrios | | 5.9 | 9.9 | 0.2 | | 67.8 | 50.1 | 38.0 | | 7 | 59.0 | 3.6 | | 0.2 | -2.3 | -13.3 | | ● | | | | 0.48 | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 130 | O 9.0 | -110 | -120 | | 77 | 8mph | | 3 | BOS | R | Garrett Richards | | 5.4 | 10.1 | 0.3 | | 55.8 | 43.9 | 56.0 | | 2 | 48.0 | 3.3 | | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -149 | U 9.0 | -110 | 110 | | | Out | | 5 | TEX | R | Mike Foltynewicz | | 4.7 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 44.2 | 56.2 | 44.0 | | 1 | 39.2 | 2.9 | | -3.4 | -3.7 | -8.4 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -115 | O 8.5 | -105 | 183 | | 68 | 11mph | | 5 | BAL | L | Bruce Zimmermann | | 4.1 | 9.9 | 0.3 | | 35.8 | 53.4 | 53.9 | | 4 | 30.5 | 2.3 | | 0.5 | -0.1 | 2.6 | | ● | | ● | | -1 | | 0.95 |
| | -1.5 | -105 | U 8.5 | -115 | -204 | | | Out | | 7 | OAK | L | Sean Manaea | | 5.3 | 9.1 | 0.2 | | 64.2 | 46.6 | 46.2 | | 4 | 56.4 | 3.4 | | -2.9 | -4.6 | -7.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 100 | O 8.0 | -115 | -156 | | 58 | 4mph | | 0 | LAA | R | Dylan Bundy | | 5.0 | 9.7 | 0.4 | | 60.4 | 46.6 | 53.3 | | 0 | 47.4 | 2.5 | | -0.5 | -3.4 | -0.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -120 | U 8.0 | -105 | 147 | | | L-R | | 2 | SEA | L | Justus Sheffield | | 3.8 | 7.2 | 0.3 | | 39.6 | 53.4 | 46.7 | | 2 | 36.6 | 2.1 | | -0.9 | -1.1 | -4.5 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 9.0 | -110 | 130 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | COL | R | Chi Chi Gonzalez | | 3.5 | 7.6 | 0.4 | | 46.7 | 68.3 | 27.8 | | 2 | 38.7 | 1.8 | | 3.2 | 6.6 | -24.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 140 | U 9.0 | -110 | -141 | | | Unknown | | 8 | ARI | R | Merrill Kelly | | 3.6 | 7.2 | 0.3 | | 53.3 | 31.8 | 72.2 | | 4 | 41.7 | 1.9 | | -5.2 | -9.9 | 19.8 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -200 | O 9.0 | -105 | 110 | | 79 | 11mph | | 8 | NYM | L | David Peterson | | 4.5 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 45.1 | 61.9 | 48.1 | | 1 | 36.9 | 2.4 | | -2.6 | -4.8 | -3.1 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 9.0 | -115 | -120 | | | Out | | 7 | PHI | R | Zach Eflin | | 4.8 | 8.4 | 0.4 | | 55.0 | 38.1 | 51.9 | | 1 | 49.6 | 3.0 | | 0.4 | 1.1 | -1.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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