Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 5-22-2021 | 5 | 7 | 41.7 | -3.39 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 15.68 | 0.66 | | 5 | 5 | 50.0 | -0.43 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 12.52 | 1.30 | | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | -2.49 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 16.89 | 0.80 | | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 0.78 | | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 5-22-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -120 | O 7.5 | -120 | 185 | | 87 | 8mph | | 0 | CWS | R | Dylan Cease | | 3.8 | 8.4 | 0.3 | | 40.0 | 58.0 | 53.7 | | 0 | 32.6 | 1.9 | | 4.9 | 3.5 | -0.8 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 100 | U 7.5 | 100 | -205 | | | Out | | 7 | NYY | R | Gerrit Cole | | 4.6 | 8.6 | 0.2 | | 60.0 | 42.0 | 46.3 | | 5 | 51.9 | 2.7 | | -7.2 | -8.0 | -3.7 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 130 | O 11.0 | -115 | -125 | | 70 | 9mph | | 6 | ARI | L | Madison Bumgarner | | 4.8 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 47.7 | 36.8 | 33.5 | | 0 | 43.1 | 2.6 | | -7.9 | -6.7 | -20.0 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -149 | U 11.0 | -105 | 105 | | | In | | 7 | COL | R | Antonio Senzatela | | 4.7 | 8.7 | 0.5 | | 52.3 | 63.3 | 66.6 | | 3 | 42.1 | 2.5 | | 3.5 | 3.4 | 15.3 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.05 | 0.67 | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -110 | O 9.0 | -110 | -179 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | HOU | R | Lance McCullers J | | 6.6 | 12.4 | 0.1 | | 68.0 | 56.8 | 61.3 | | 4 | 62.6 | 4.0 | | 3.8 | 4.4 | 8.9 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.91 |
| | 1.5 | -110 | U 9.0 | -110 | 150 | | | Unknown | | 8 | TEX | R | Jordan Lyles | | 4.3 | 7.7 | 0.3 | | 32.1 | 43.2 | 38.7 | | 3 | 25.3 | 2.2 | | -8.0 | -9.2 | -13.7 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 9.0 | -125 | 135 | | 88 | 11mph | | 9 | BAL | L | Bruce Zimmermann | | 5.6 | 10.7 | 0.2 | | 38.6 | 56.2 | 72.5 | | 7 | 37.2 | 3.4 | | -4.0 | -3.0 | 16.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.80 |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 9.0 | 105 | -161 | | | L-R | | 12 | WSH | L | Jon Lester | | 6.7 | 11.2 | 0.3 | | 61.4 | 43.9 | 27.6 | | 9 | 52.6 | 4.2 | | -0.3 | -0.6 | -21.2 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 8.0 | 100 | 145 | | 76 | 6mph | | 3 | MIN | R | Kenta Maeda | | 4.9 | 8.7 | 0.2 | | 41.6 | 58.0 | 65.9 | | 2 | 35.1 | 2.7 | | 0.8 | -1.2 | 15.9 | | ● | | ● | | -1 | | 0.00 |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 8.0 | -120 | -172 | | | L-R | | 5 | CLE | R | Shane Bieber | | 5.4 | 10.3 | 0.3 | | 58.4 | 42.1 | 34.1 | | 3 | 51.5 | 3.4 | | -4.8 | -2.4 | -20.5 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -164 | O 8.5 | -120 | 130 | | 66 | 11mph | | 5 | DET | L | Matthew Boyd | | 4.9 | 9.9 | 0.4 | | 51.1 | 69.8 | 51.8 | | 3 | 46.7 | 2.6 | | 7.6 | 7.7 | -2.8 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 140 | U 8.5 | 100 | -149 | | | Out | | 7 | KC | R | Brady Singer | | 4.4 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 48.9 | 30.2 | 48.3 | | 5 | 36.5 | 2.2 | | -10.9 | -11.5 | -1.8 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -115 | O 9.5 | -115 | 170 | | 84 | 4mph | | 1 | PIT | R | Mitch Keller | | 4.8 | 10.3 | 0.3 | | 39.1 | 55.3 | 55.1 | | 1 | 34.4 | 2.8 | | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | -105 | U 9.5 | -105 | -200 | | | R-L | | 6 | ATL | R | Bryse Wilson | | 5.9 | 9.1 | 0.2 | | 60.9 | 44.7 | 44.9 | | 5 | 53.7 | 3.7 | | -5.8 | -6.5 | -6.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 9.0 | -105 | 130 | | 85 | 7mph | | 4 | MIL | L | Brett Anderson | | 5.1 | 8.6 | 0.4 | | 42.6 | 59.8 | 58.0 | | 1 | 37.9 | 2.7 | | -0.9 | -1.9 | 6.8 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 135 | U 9.0 | -115 | -149 | | | Out | | 3 | CIN | R | Sonny Gray | | 5.5 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 57.4 | 40.2 | 42.0 | | 2 | 47.5 | 3.1 | | -2.4 | -2.4 | -11.5 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -150 | O 7.5 | -105 | 142 | | 72 | 0mph | | 1 | NYM | R | Jordan Yamamoto | | 2.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | | 24.0 | 44.0 | 45.9 | | 0 | 22.2 | 1.5 | | -17.3 | -16.0 | -5.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 7.5 | -115 | -152 | | | Unknown | | 3 | MIA | R | Pablo Lopez | | 4.9 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 76.0 | 56.0 | 54.1 | | 0 | 63.8 | 3.0 | | 15.7 | 12.5 | 0.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.66 | 1.30 | 0.87 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 120 | O 9.0 | -110 | -135 | | 84 | 8mph | | 4 | BOS | R | Nathan Eovaldi | | 4.7 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 57.6 | 43.9 | 39.3 | | 2 | 49.0 | 2.5 | | 0.2 | -1.6 | -13.1 | | ● | | | | 0.74 | | |
| | 1.5 | -141 | U 9.0 | -110 | 115 | | | L-R | | 3 | PHI | R | Spencer Howard | | 3.8 | 8.3 | 0.4 | | 42.4 | 56.1 | 60.8 | | 1 | 34.3 | 2.0 | | -4.1 | -2.4 | 8.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -222 | O 8.5 | 100 | -115 | | 85 | 4mph | | 1 | CHC | R | Adbert Alzolay | | 5.5 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 60.5 | 75.8 | 55.8 | | 1 | 56.1 | 3.1 | | 7.0 | 6.9 | 5.8 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.45 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 175 | U 8.5 | -120 | -105 | | | Out | | 2 | STL | R | Miles Mikolas | | 4.1 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 39.6 | 24.2 | 44.3 | | 1 | 29.5 | 2.1 | | -11.7 | -12.2 | -10.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -105 | O 7.0 | -125 | -170 | | 58 | 12mph | | 6 | LAD | R | Walker Buehler | | 4.3 | 8.2 | 0.3 | | 51.4 | 38.7 | 56.0 | | 2 | 45.4 | 2.4 | | -11.6 | -12.6 | 0.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.80 |
| | 1.5 | -115 | U 7.0 | 105 | 160 | | | Out | | 3 | SF | R | Nick Tropeano | | 3.9 | 7.6 | 0.2 | | 48.7 | 61.4 | 44.0 | | 0 | 36.8 | 2.0 | | 10.2 | 7.9 | -4.8 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -185 | O 9.5 | -105 | 105 | | 84 | 12mph | | 3 | TB | L | Shane McClanahan | | 5.7 | 9.7 | 0.2 | | 48.2 | 64.1 | 60.6 | | 1 | 42.2 | 3.1 | | -0.6 | -0.8 | 9.4 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 9.5 | -115 | -125 | | | Out | | 1 | TOR | L | Robbie Ray | | 5.6 | 10.0 | 0.4 | | 51.8 | 35.9 | 39.4 | | 1 | 45.2 | 3.3 | | -3.8 | -3.3 | -14.1 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -120 | O 7.5 | -115 | 175 | | 64 | 10mph | | 4 | SEA | L | Justus Sheffield | | 3.1 | 6.9 | 0.3 | | 26.9 | 45.9 | 53.2 | | 1 | 23.6 | 1.5 | | -9.5 | -8.7 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 100 | U 7.5 | -105 | -222 | | | L-R | | 6 | SD | R | Dinelson Lamet | | 5.3 | 9.5 | 0.4 | | 73.2 | 54.2 | 46.8 | | 6 | 60.6 | 2.9 | | 4.2 | 4.1 | -4.4 | | ● | ● | | | 0.45 | 1.00 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 115 | O 8.5 | -120 | -141 | | 65 | 8mph | | 6 | OAK | R | Chris Bassitt | | 5.8 | 9.5 | 0.2 | | 59.2 | 49.9 | 62.2 | | 2 | 53.2 | 3.3 | | 0.7 | 3.4 | 7.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.71 | 1.15 | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -135 | U 8.5 | 100 | 120 | | | Out | | 2 | LAA | L | Patrick Sandoval | | 4.5 | 9.5 | 0.4 | | 40.8 | 50.1 | 37.8 | | 0 | 34.9 | 2.5 | | -4.7 | -7.3 | -12.2 | | | | | | | | |
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