Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
|---|
| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
|---|
| 5-6-2021 | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | -4.06 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 9.90 | 0.74 | | 4 | 4 | 50.0 | -0.07 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 8.08 | 1.55 | | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 0.82 | | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 2.15 | 0.82 | | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.74 | | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 7.95 | 1.74 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 5-6-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
|---|
| Box | | 1.5 | -125 | O 7.5 | 100 | 180 | | 60 | 9mph | | 7 | HOU | R | Lance McCullers J | | 3.3 | 7.8 | 0.1 | | 29.5 | 47.2 | 52.2 | | 1 | 26.2 | 1.6 | | -6.3 | -8.4 | 2.1 | | | | ● | | | | 1.00 |
| | -1.5 | 105 | U 7.5 | -120 | -227 | | | L-R | | 4 | NYY | R | Gerrit Cole | | 5.1 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 70.6 | 52.9 | 47.9 | | 3 | 58.7 | 2.9 | | 1.1 | 4.1 | -6.7 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
|
|
|
| Box | | -1.5 | 145 | O 6.5 | 100 | -120 | | 61 | 9mph | | 0 | MIL | R | Brandon Woodruff | | 3.4 | 7.7 | 0.3 | | 59.4 | 40.5 | 37.5 | | 0 | 47.4 | 1.6 | | 4.9 | -0.3 | -12.5 | | ● | | | | -1 | | |
| | 1.5 | -169 | U 6.5 | -120 | 100 | | | In | | 2 | PHI | R | Zack Wheeler | | 2.4 | 5.9 | 0.4 | | 40.6 | 59.5 | 62.5 | | 0 | 25.8 | 1.0 | | -9.4 | -3.3 | 8.0 | | | | ● | | | | 0.83 |
|
|
|
| Box | | 1.5 | -115 | O 8.0 | -110 | 170 | | 59 | 10mph | | 9 | DET | R | Spencer Turnbull | | 4.2 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 35.0 | 53.3 | 61.3 | | 6 | 33.3 | 2.2 | | -2.1 | -0.2 | 8.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | -105 | U 8.0 | -110 | -200 | | | L-R | | 12 | BOS | R | Nathan Eovaldi | | 5.7 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 65.1 | 46.7 | 38.7 | | 5 | 52.9 | 3.2 | | -1.6 | -4.5 | -13.7 | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
| Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 8.5 | -105 | 140 | | 55 | 10mph | | 4 | TEX | R | Jordan Lyles | | 4.4 | 8.8 | 0.2 | | 29.0 | 46.8 | 65.7 | | 2 | 22.9 | 2.4 | | -12.7 | -10.6 | 14.5 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 115 | U 8.5 | -115 | -164 | | | Out | | 3 | MIN | R | Michael Pineda | | 6.3 | 10.5 | 0.3 | | 71.1 | 53.2 | 34.3 | | 3 | 66.1 | 4.3 | | 8.9 | 6.7 | -19.2 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
|
|
|
| Box | | -1.5 | 145 | O 8.0 | -110 | -110 | | 64 | 10mph | | 4 | NYM | R | Taijuan Walker | | 3.3 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 41.4 | 29.3 | 34.5 | | 2 | 36.3 | 1.7 | | -11.0 | -11.6 | -17.9 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -169 | U 8.0 | -110 | -110 | | | L-R | | 1 | STL | R | John Gant | | 3.6 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 58.7 | 70.8 | 65.5 | | 1 | 44.4 | 2.0 | | 6.3 | 7.9 | 13.1 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.91 |
|
|
|
| Box | | 1.5 | -169 | O 8.0 | -105 | 110 | | 60 | 13mph | | 4 | CLE | R | Triston McKenzie | | 3.7 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 36.1 | 54.9 | 50.7 | | 2 | 26.5 | 1.7 | | -11.5 | -7.9 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 8.0 | -115 | -130 | | | In | | 0 | KC | L | Danny Duffy | | 4.8 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 63.9 | 45.1 | 49.4 | | 0 | 57.6 | 3.0 | | 7.4 | 4.3 | -4.1 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
|
|
|
| Box | | -1.5 | 125 | O 8.5 | -110 | -145 | | 59 | 11mph | | 10 | TOR | L | Hyun Jin Ryu | | 5.1 | 9.6 | 0.4 | | 58.5 | 46.2 | 51.6 | | 5 | 53.1 | 3.1 | | -0.7 | 1.7 | -0.8 | | | ● | | | | 1.25 | |
| | 1.5 | -145 | U 8.5 | -110 | 120 | | | Out | | 4 | OAK | R | Mike Fiers | | 4.0 | 8.3 | 0.3 | | 41.5 | 53.9 | 48.4 | | 4 | 32.7 | 2.2 | | -4.0 | -5.3 | -4.0 | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
| Box | | -1.5 | 150 | O 9.0 | 100 | -105 | | 65 | 6mph | | 3 | ATL | L | Drew Smyly | | 4.9 | 8.8 | 0.2 | | 43.2 | 33.1 | 56.1 | | 3 | 36.3 | 2.7 | | -8.0 | -6.9 | 6.1 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -175 | U 9.0 | -120 | -115 | | | In | | 2 | WSH | L | Jon Lester | | 5.2 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 56.8 | 66.9 | 43.9 | | 1 | 50.1 | 3.2 | | 3.3 | 3.3 | -10.7 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.57 | |
|
|
|
| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 7.5 | 100 | 110 | | 72 | 0mph | | 1 | ARI | L | Madison Bumgarner | | 3.3 | 8.0 | 0.3 | | 32.7 | 52.7 | 46.4 | | 1 | 28.9 | 1.6 | | -15.0 | -11.5 | -3.6 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 7.5 | -120 | -135 | | | Unknown | | 3 | MIA | R | Pablo Lopez | | 4.5 | 8.4 | 0.4 | | 67.4 | 47.3 | 53.6 | | 1 | 54.6 | 2.7 | | 9.9 | 8.1 | -0.9 | | ● | ● | | | 0.74 | 1.55 | |
|
|
|
| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 8.0 | -110 | 120 | | 66 | 8mph | | 8 | TB | L | Josh Fleming | | 4.7 | 8.9 | 0.2 | | 49.9 | 66.8 | 56.4 | | 0 | 46.6 | 2.6 | | 4.4 | 2.6 | 4.0 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.20 | 0.56 | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 8.0 | -110 | -141 | | | Out | | 3 | LAA | L | Andrew Heaney | | 4.5 | 8.8 | 0.4 | | 50.2 | 33.3 | 43.6 | | 3 | 40.5 | 2.4 | | -8.4 | -6.0 | -8.8 | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|