Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-10-2021 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | 1.62 | | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | 0.35 | 2.62 | | 8 | 1 | 88.9 | 5.01 | | 8 | 1 | 88.9 | 0.06 | 5.01 | | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 2.52 | | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | 12.08 | 3.52 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | -0.09 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 5.40 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-10-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 150 | O 8.0 | -115 | -115 | | 79 | 2mph | | 7 | MIL | R | Freddy Peralta | | 5.7 | 9.7 | 0.3 | | 57.0 | 46.3 | 66.2 | | 1 | 55.4 | 3.3 | | 3.5 | 6.3 | 12.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.87 | 1.50 | 0.87 |
| | 1.5 | -179 | U 8.0 | -105 | -105 | | | In | | 2 | CIN | R | Luis Castillo | | 4.7 | 7.2 | 0.2 | | 43.1 | 53.8 | 33.8 | | 2 | 32.7 | 2.3 | | -8.2 | -10.4 | -17.4 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -145 | O 8.0 | -115 | -238 | | 82 | 3mph | | 6 | LAD | L | Julio Urias | | 6.3 | 10.1 | 0.3 | | 71.7 | 59.9 | 65.6 | | 4 | 67.3 | 4.0 | | 1.2 | 0.7 | 12.1 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.42 | 0.69 | 0.87 |
| | 1.5 | 125 | U 8.0 | -105 | 190 | | | In | | 3 | PIT | R | Mitch Keller | | 3.9 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 28.4 | 40.1 | 34.4 | | 3 | 21.8 | 2.0 | | -6.1 | -4.3 | -16.8 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 7.5 | -110 | 125 | | 82 | 11mph | | 3 | ATL | R | Ian Anderson | | 3.8 | 7.8 | 0.3 | | 44.8 | 65.2 | 45.8 | | 0 | 35.8 | 1.8 | | 0.3 | 1.0 | -6.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.56 | |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 7.5 | -110 | -145 | | | In | | 4 | PHI | R | Zack Wheeler | | 4.1 | 7.7 | 0.4 | | 55.3 | 34.8 | 54.3 | | 0 | 46.4 | 2.2 | | -3.9 | -5.2 | 1.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 160 | O 9.5 | -105 | 100 | | 82 | 8mph | | 3 | SEA | L | Justus Sheffield | | 5.5 | 10.2 | 0.3 | | 42.9 | 32.8 | 63.3 | | 3 | 34.8 | 3.0 | | -7.2 | -5.7 | 12.1 | | | | ● | | | | 0.95 |
| | 1.5 | -192 | U 9.5 | -115 | -120 | | | In | | 8 | DET | L | Tyler Alexander | | 6.1 | 10.9 | 0.4 | | 57.2 | 67.2 | 36.7 | | 5 | 52.5 | 3.9 | | 2.6 | 1.4 | -16.8 | | ● | ● | | | 0.83 | 0.52 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 7.5 | -120 | 155 | | 78 | 6mph | | 0 | SF | R | Anthony DeSclafan | | 4.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | | 51.3 | 71.6 | 44.6 | | 0 | 42.1 | 1.9 | | 12.1 | 12.4 | -9.9 | | ● | ● | | | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 7.5 | 100 | -185 | | | R-L | | 0 | WSH | R | Max Scherzer | | 3.6 | 8.1 | 0.3 | | 48.7 | 28.5 | 55.4 | | 0 | 38.7 | 1.8 | | -16.2 | -16.0 | 5.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 150 | O 9.0 | -120 | -105 | | 63 | 9mph | | 8 | HOU | R | Zack Greinke | | 7.0 | 12.6 | 0.2 | | 58.5 | 49.3 | 73.1 | | 7 | 56.0 | 4.1 | | 7.3 | 9.3 | 18.5 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.83 |
| | 1.5 | -179 | U 9.0 | 100 | -115 | | | R-L | | 12 | BOS | L | Eduardo Rodriguez | | 5.5 | 10.3 | 0.3 | | 41.5 | 50.7 | 27.0 | | 7 | 33.2 | 3.0 | | -12.0 | -13.5 | -23.1 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -120 | O 7.5 | -105 | 170 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | COL | R | Chi Chi Gonzalez | | 2.6 | 6.8 | 0.4 | | 31.6 | 53.2 | 34.9 | | 0 | 25.2 | 1.3 | | -5.5 | -1.4 | -16.4 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 100 | U 7.5 | -115 | -217 | | | Unknown | | 11 | MIA | L | Trevor Rogers | | 4.0 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 68.5 | 46.9 | 65.2 | | 8 | 55.6 | 2.4 | | 0.0 | -3.1 | 11.7 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 9.0 | 100 | -115 | | 76 | 6mph | | 2 | TOR | L | Hyun Jin Ryu | | 5.2 | 9.4 | 0.4 | | 49.7 | 38.3 | 57.6 | | 1 | 43.6 | 2.9 | | -3.8 | -4.3 | 7.6 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -161 | U 9.0 | -120 | -105 | | | L-R | | 5 | CWS | L | Dallas Keuchel | | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.4 | | 50.3 | 61.8 | 42.4 | | 3 | 43.7 | 3.0 | | -0.9 | 0.1 | -12.2 | | | ● | | | | 0.62 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 110 | O 11.0 | -105 | -141 | | 95 | 5mph | | 5 | NYY | R | Michael King | | 5.6 | 10.2 | 0.2 | | 54.2 | 42.2 | 42.9 | | 4 | 48.1 | 3.3 | | -4.3 | -5.5 | -8.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -132 | U 11.0 | -115 | 120 | | | R-L | | 7 | MIN | L | J.A. Happ | | 5.1 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 45.8 | 57.9 | 57.1 | | 2 | 40.0 | 3.0 | | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.20 | 0.76 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 8.0 | -105 | 130 | | 58 | 13mph | | 6 | KC | L | Mike Minor | | 4.4 | 8.8 | 0.3 | | 50.4 | 69.9 | 49.3 | | 0 | 46.7 | 2.6 | | 6.9 | 10.0 | -1.9 | | ● | ● | | | 1.30 | 0.67 | |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 8.0 | -115 | -149 | | | Out | | 1 | OAK | R | Frankie Montas | | 4.0 | 7.1 | 0.2 | | 49.6 | 30.2 | 50.7 | | 1 | 39.0 | 2.3 | | -10.2 | -13.3 | -2.8 | | | | | | | | |
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