Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-16-2021 | 7 | 5 | 58.3 | 1.64 | | 7 | 2 | 77.8 | 3.36 | 4.64 | | 10 | 4 | 71.4 | 4.53 | | 9 | 3 | 75.0 | 1.65 | 5.01 | | 6 | 1 | 85.7 | 4.30 | | 6 | 1 | 85.7 | 2.32 | 4.30 | | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | -1.13 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 12.99 | 0.87 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-16-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 160 | O 7.5 | 105 | -105 | | 84 | 5mph | | 0 | MIA | R | Sandy Alcantara | | 3.9 | 7.8 | 0.3 | | 46.9 | 32.9 | 47.5 | | 0 | 42.6 | 2.2 | | -4.4 | -5.6 | -1.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -192 | U 7.5 | -125 | -115 | | | In | | 1 | STL | R | Johan Oviedo | | 3.9 | 8.0 | 0.3 | | 53.2 | 67.1 | 52.6 | | 0 | 41.1 | 2.2 | | -0.3 | 1.3 | -3.0 | | | ● | | | | 0.52 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -185 | O 7.5 | -120 | 115 | | 72 | 10mph | | 7 | TB | L | Ryan Yarbrough | | 4.6 | 7.8 | 0.1 | | 49.4 | 69.6 | 58.0 | | 2 | 44.4 | 2.6 | | 2.9 | 4.7 | 3.5 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.54 | 0.83 |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 7.5 | 100 | -135 | | | L-R | | 8 | CWS | R | Lucas Giolito | | 4.3 | 8.1 | 0.3 | | 50.6 | 30.4 | 42.0 | | 7 | 41.4 | 2.5 | | -6.8 | -8.8 | -8.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 9.0 | -115 | 130 | | 90 | 7mph | | 6 | DET | L | Tarik Skubal | | 5.3 | 10.1 | 0.3 | | 36.7 | 51.9 | 68.8 | | 1 | 33.2 | 3.0 | | -6.8 | -7.9 | 15.3 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 9.0 | -105 | -149 | | | R-L | | 5 | KC | R | Brady Singer | | 6.5 | 9.9 | 0.3 | | 63.3 | 48.1 | 31.3 | | 3 | 56.5 | 4.2 | | 3.5 | 4.6 | -20.0 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 8.0 | -105 | 125 | | 71 | 8mph | | 2 | CIN | R | Tyler Mahle | | 3.5 | 6.0 | 0.2 | | 49.8 | 69.1 | 33.5 | | 1 | 36.3 | 1.6 | | 5.4 | 4.9 | -17.7 | | ● | ● | | | 1.25 | 0.56 | |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 8.0 | -115 | -145 | | | L-R | | 1 | MIL | R | Freddy Peralta | | 3.3 | 6.4 | 0.3 | | 50.2 | 30.9 | 66.5 | | 1 | 41.8 | 1.8 | | -9.0 | -9.1 | 13.0 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -141 | O 12.0 | -115 | -200 | | 101 | 10mph | | 7 | SD | L | Blake Snell | | 7.8 | 12.0 | 0.3 | | 59.6 | 49.5 | 61.3 | | 5 | 49.5 | 4.5 | | -7.1 | -9.0 | 7.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | 1.5 | 120 | U 12.0 | -105 | 170 | | | In | | 8 | COL | L | Kyle Freeland | | 6.2 | 10.6 | 0.3 | | 40.4 | 50.5 | 38.7 | | 7 | 40.5 | 3.9 | | 3.4 | 5.0 | -12.5 | | ● | ● | | | 1.70 | 1.20 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -185 | O 9.5 | 100 | 100 | | 79 | 7mph | | 4 | LAA | R | Griffin Canning | | 4.4 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 36.2 | 53.9 | 46.8 | | 4 | 29.6 | 2.3 | | -13.9 | -11.0 | -3.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 9.5 | -120 | -120 | | | Out | | 8 | OAK | L | Cole Irvin | | 5.4 | 8.3 | 0.2 | | 63.9 | 46.1 | 53.3 | | 2 | 58.5 | 3.5 | | 9.3 | 6.9 | -1.3 | | ● | ● | | | 0.83 | 1.55 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 9.0 | -120 | 145 | | 75 | 8mph | | 1 | PIT | R | Chase De Jong | | 4.9 | 9.7 | 0.3 | | 47.4 | 63.6 | 53.3 | | 0 | 37.9 | 2.6 | | 6.6 | 6.2 | -1.2 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 115 | U 9.0 | 100 | -172 | | | L-R | | 3 | WSH | R | Paolo Espino | | 5.0 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 52.6 | 36.4 | 46.7 | | 1 | 47.5 | 3.0 | | -10.6 | -10.1 | -3.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -105 | O 8.5 | -120 | -164 | | 64 | 7mph | | 3 | NYY | R | Gerrit Cole | | 6.3 | 11.0 | 0.2 | | 69.9 | 59.3 | 59.7 | | 1 | 66.1 | 4.0 | | 7.8 | 8.0 | 5.2 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.61 | -1 | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -115 | U 8.5 | 100 | 140 | | | L-R | | 2 | TOR | R | Ross Stripling | | 3.9 | 9.1 | 0.4 | | 30.1 | 40.8 | 40.3 | | 2 | 21.8 | 2.0 | | -11.6 | -12.7 | -9.7 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 7.5 | -110 | 140 | | 71 | 4mph | | 7 | BAL | L | Keegan Akin | | 3.5 | 7.7 | 0.3 | | 43.6 | 63.7 | 42.2 | | 5 | 35.6 | 1.8 | | 1.9 | 5.2 | -10.2 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.71 | |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 7.5 | -110 | -164 | | | In | | 8 | CLE | R | Aaron Civale | | 3.9 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 56.5 | 36.3 | 57.8 | | 6 | 46.2 | 2.3 | | -5.7 | -9.2 | 5.4 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | 100 | O 6.5 | -110 | 240 | | 75 | 8mph | | 3 | CHC | R | Robert Stock | | 2.6 | 4.8 | 0.3 | | 24.9 | 43.8 | 54.7 | | 1 | 18.2 | 1.1 | | -4.6 | -6.2 | 2.3 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | -120 | U 6.5 | -110 | -303 | | | In | | 6 | NYM | R | Jacob deGrom | | 4.8 | 8.3 | 0.2 | | 75.2 | 56.2 | 45.3 | | 6 | 65.4 | 3.0 | | 0.0 | 1.7 | -7.1 | | | ● | | | | 0.83 | |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 9.5 | -105 | 135 | | 83 | 7mph | | 10 | BOS | R | Garrett Richards | | 4.5 | 9.1 | 0.2 | | 37.6 | 54.2 | 51.1 | | 6 | 32.2 | 2.4 | | -5.0 | -5.0 | -0.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 9.5 | -115 | -161 | | | Out | | 8 | ATL | R | Ian Anderson | | 5.6 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 62.5 | 45.8 | 49.0 | | 6 | 55.4 | 3.4 | | 0.8 | 1.4 | -4.5 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | 100 | O 9.0 | -110 | 185 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | TEX | R | Jordan Lyles | | 3.9 | 8.5 | 0.4 | | 24.1 | 39.3 | 60.8 | | 1 | 20.4 | 2.0 | | -11.0 | -10.7 | 8.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | -120 | U 9.0 | -110 | -238 | | | Unknown | | 8 | HOU | R | Zack Greinke | | 6.7 | 11.5 | 0.2 | | 75.9 | 60.7 | 39.2 | | 5 | 68.4 | 4.3 | | 5.5 | 6.2 | -13.2 | | ● | ● | | | 0.42 | 0.83 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 8.0 | -105 | 145 | | 71 | 8mph | | 7 | ARI | R | Merrill Kelly | | 3.2 | 7.9 | 0.2 | | 30.3 | 51.4 | 43.3 | | 2 | 29.1 | 1.6 | | -10.5 | -7.1 | -7.9 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 8.0 | -115 | -172 | | | Out | | 13 | SF | R | Anthony DeSclafani | | 4.7 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 69.7 | 48.6 | 56.7 | | 13 | 52.2 | 2.6 | | 6.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.58 | 1.20 | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 115 | O 8.5 | -110 | -141 | | 69 | 8mph | | 7 | MIN | R | Bailey Ober | | 6.0 | 10.4 | 0.3 | | 55.0 | 43.8 | 69.3 | | 7 | 48.4 | 3.5 | | -3.6 | -2.7 | 16.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | 1.5 | -135 | U 8.5 | -110 | 120 | | | In | | 2 | SEA | L | Justus Sheffield | | 5.3 | 8.4 | 0.3 | | 45.1 | 56.2 | 30.7 | | 1 | 38.6 | 3.0 | | -0.4 | -1.2 | -21.7 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -172 | O 7.0 | -105 | 125 | | 75 | 6mph | | 2 | PHI | R | Zack Wheeler | | 4.0 | 8.2 | 0.4 | | 51.6 | 72.3 | 48.9 | | 2 | 46.2 | 2.1 | | 7.2 | 9.0 | -2.4 | | ● | ● | | | 1.25 | 0.58 | |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 7.0 | -115 | -145 | | | Out | | 0 | LAD | L | Clayton Kershaw | | 3.5 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 48.4 | 27.8 | 51.2 | | 0 | 34.5 | 1.7 | | -10.8 | -13.1 | -2.3 | | | | | | | | |
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