Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-2-2021 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | -2.40 | | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 1.36 | -0.40 | | 6 | 1 | 85.7 | 2.94 | | 6 | 1 | 85.7 | 1.24 | 2.94 | | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | -3.00 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 19.20 | -1.00 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | -0.17 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 1.10 | -0.17 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-2-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -200 | O 7.0 | 100 | 110 | | 66 | 9mph | | 1 | SD | R | Dinelson Lamet | | 3.4 | 7.3 | 0.4 | | 46.3 | 66.0 | 43.8 | | 1 | 38.7 | 1.8 | | -1.3 | -0.7 | -6.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 7.0 | -120 | -132 | | | In | | 6 | CHC | R | Adbert Alzolay | | 3.6 | 7.5 | 0.4 | | 53.7 | 34.1 | 56.2 | | 3 | 42.0 | 2.0 | | -3.2 | -3.0 | 1.7 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 155 | O 8.0 | -120 | 100 | | 72 | 0mph | | 7 | NYM | L | David Peterson | | 3.8 | 7.7 | 0.3 | | 40.0 | 28.6 | 47.5 | | 6 | 32.3 | 2.0 | | -10.1 | -10.7 | -7.0 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -185 | U 8.0 | 100 | -120 | | | Unknown | | 6 | ARI | L | Madison Bumgarner | | 4.4 | 8.4 | 0.4 | | 60.1 | 71.5 | 52.5 | | 5 | 51.7 | 2.7 | | 5.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.54 | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 105 | O 9.5 | -120 | -145 | | 75 | 10mph | | 3 | MIN | R | Randy Dobnak | | 5.4 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 54.2 | 43.2 | 48.9 | | 1 | 47.6 | 3.0 | | -5.0 | -5.6 | -5.6 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -125 | U 9.5 | 100 | 125 | | | Out | | 6 | BAL | R | Tyler Wells | | 4.5 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 45.8 | 56.8 | 51.1 | | 3 | 38.9 | 2.6 | | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.25 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 8.5 | 100 | 115 | | 68 | 0mph | | 3 | TB | L | Shane McClanahan | | 4.0 | 8.2 | 0.1 | | 47.8 | 67.5 | 40.4 | | 2 | 44.4 | 2.2 | | 1.2 | 3.3 | -9.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.56 | |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 8.5 | -120 | -135 | | | R-L | | 4 | NYY | L | Jordan Montgomery | | 3.9 | 7.7 | 0.2 | | 52.3 | 32.5 | 59.6 | | 4 | 39.0 | 2.1 | | -5.2 | -7.5 | 5.1 | | | | ● | | | | 0.83 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 8.5 | 100 | 145 | | 68 | 4mph | | 5 | MIA | R | Pablo Lopez | | 4.3 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 45.4 | 63.9 | 47.5 | | 4 | 34.8 | 2.1 | | 4.6 | 5.4 | -2.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.71 | |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 8.5 | -120 | -172 | | | In | | 6 | TOR | R | Alek Manoah | | 4.4 | 8.3 | 0.4 | | 54.6 | 36.1 | 52.6 | | 2 | 48.5 | 2.6 | | -8.6 | -9.4 | -2.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 10.0 | -110 | 135 | | 78 | 6mph | | 5 | WSH | L | Jon Lester | | 5.5 | 10.1 | 0.3 | | 44.4 | 61.7 | 55.1 | | 3 | 40.5 | 3.1 | | 1.8 | 3.1 | 2.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.35 | 0.71 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 10.0 | -110 | -161 | | | In | | 3 | ATL | L | Drew Smyly | | 5.8 | 10.3 | 0.2 | | 55.6 | 38.4 | 44.9 | | 1 | 47.5 | 3.5 | | -6.1 | -7.1 | -7.5 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 9.0 | -105 | 125 | | 72 | 0mph | | 1 | BOS | R | Nick Pivetta | | 4.5 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 47.6 | 63.3 | 47.2 | | 1 | 38.3 | 2.3 | | 3.1 | 1.6 | -4.0 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.62 | |
| | -1.5 | 135 | U 9.0 | -115 | -145 | | | Unknown | | 2 | HOU | L | Framber Valdez | | 4.7 | 8.2 | 0.2 | | 52.5 | 36.8 | 52.8 | | 2 | 46.1 | 2.6 | | -6.7 | -5.8 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -238 | O 11.0 | -115 | -120 | | 77 | 4mph | | 3 | TEX | R | Jordan Lyles | | 6.3 | 10.8 | 0.3 | | 51.7 | 66.8 | 54.1 | | 1 | 42.9 | 3.5 | | -2.8 | -3.6 | 0.6 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 185 | U 11.0 | -105 | 100 | | | R-L | | 6 | COL | R | Antonio Senzatela | | 5.8 | 10.5 | 0.5 | | 48.3 | 33.2 | 45.9 | | 2 | 45.7 | 3.6 | | -1.7 | -1.9 | -5.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | 100 | O 8.0 | -110 | 190 | | 72 | 7mph | | 3 | STL | R | Carlos Martinez | | 3.4 | 7.3 | 0.3 | | 34.8 | 56.8 | 42.5 | | 3 | 29.2 | 1.6 | | 0.3 | 6.8 | -9.9 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | -120 | U 8.0 | -110 | -238 | | | Out | | 14 | LAD | R | Walker Buehler | | 4.6 | 7.4 | 0.3 | | 65.2 | 43.2 | 57.5 | | 14 | 54.8 | 2.6 | | -5.2 | -11.3 | 5.1 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 105 | O 8.0 | -120 | -149 | | 78 | 6mph | | 6 | OAK | L | Sean Manaea | | 6.3 | 11.0 | 0.2 | | 57.0 | 45.7 | 73.8 | | 5 | 51.4 | 3.5 | | -2.8 | -3.1 | 19.2 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -125 | U 8.0 | 100 | 130 | | | L-R | | 0 | SEA | R | Chris Flexen | | 5.0 | 9.4 | 0.3 | | 43.0 | 54.3 | 26.3 | | 0 | 36.6 | 2.9 | | -0.5 | -1.3 | -23.8 | | | | | | | | |
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