Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-20-2021 | 6 | 6 | 50.0 | -0.73 | | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | 3.64 | 1.74 | | 7 | 7 | 50.0 | -1.53 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 15.50 | -1.00 | | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | -4.22 | | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 9.39 | 0.78 | | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 0.74 | | 3 | 0 | 100.0 | 8.12 | 2.74 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-20-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -135 | O 10.5 | -115 | -189 | | 88 | 8mph | | 7 | TOR | L | Hyun Jin Ryu | | 7.3 | 12.6 | 0.5 | | 65.9 | 54.8 | 64.4 | | 4 | 60.1 | 4.7 | | 0.5 | -2.6 | 10.9 | | ● | | ● | | 0.53 | | 0.87 |
| | 1.5 | 115 | U 10.5 | -105 | 165 | | | Out | | 4 | BAL | R | Matt Harvey | | 5.3 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 34.1 | 45.2 | 35.6 | | 1 | 30.4 | 3.2 | | -3.6 | -1.3 | -15.6 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -154 | O 10.0 | -105 | 124 | | 85 | 9mph | | 1 | OAK | L | Sean Manaea | | 5.3 | 9.7 | 0.2 | | 42.2 | 58.7 | 58.9 | | 1 | 39.5 | 3.2 | | -2.4 | -2.0 | 7.7 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 135 | U 10.0 | -115 | -145 | | | Out | | 2 | NYY | L | Jordan Montgomery | | 6.2 | 11.8 | 0.2 | | 57.8 | 41.4 | 41.1 | | 0 | 49.3 | 3.7 | | -1.4 | -1.2 | -12.4 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 155 | O 8.5 | -120 | -105 | | 86 | 8mph | | 2 | NYM | R | Taijuan Walker | | 5.6 | 10.2 | 0.3 | | 66.0 | 53.5 | 54.7 | | 1 | 63.8 | 3.3 | | 14.7 | 14.3 | 0.2 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -175 | U 8.5 | 100 | -115 | | | Out | | 5 | WSH | L | Patrick Corbin | | 3.8 | 8.4 | 0.4 | | 34.1 | 46.5 | 45.3 | | 3 | 22.3 | 1.7 | | -19.4 | -17.1 | -4.7 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -169 | O 8.0 | -115 | 115 | | 83 | 6mph | | 2 | CLE | L | Sam Hentges | | 3.9 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 27.8 | 44.5 | 62.3 | | 1 | 20.6 | 2.1 | | -18.7 | -18.3 | 8.8 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 8.0 | -105 | -135 | | | R-L | | 1 | PIT | R | JT Brubaker | | 6.0 | 10.8 | 0.3 | | 72.2 | 55.5 | 37.7 | | 0 | 68.3 | 4.2 | | 14.8 | 15.5 | -13.5 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 110 | O 9.5 | -115 | -135 | | 88 | 15mph | | 3 | BOS | R | Nathan Eovaldi | | 5.1 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 55.9 | 43.2 | 44.2 | | 2 | 43.2 | 2.6 | | -1.5 | -4.4 | -9.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -130 | U 9.5 | -105 | 115 | | | Out | | 7 | KC | L | Mike Minor | | 4.3 | 9.5 | 0.4 | | 44.1 | 56.8 | 55.8 | | 4 | 40.8 | 2.4 | | -2.4 | 0.3 | 4.6 | | | ● | ● | | | 0.77 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 8.5 | -115 | 117 | | 72 | 0mph | | 2 | CWS | L | Dallas Keuchel | | 3.7 | 6.8 | 0.3 | | 38.6 | 57.4 | 43.9 | | 2 | 31.2 | 1.8 | | -7.5 | -4.3 | -9.6 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 140 | U 8.5 | -105 | -137 | | | Unknown | | 8 | HOU | R | Lance McCullers Jr. | | 4.4 | 9.4 | 0.2 | | 61.5 | 42.7 | 56.1 | | 8 | 52.2 | 2.6 | | 3.6 | 1.0 | 4.9 | | ● | ● | ● | | 0.73 | 1.40 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -215 | O 7.5 | 100 | 106 | | 76 | 6mph | | 0 | STL | R | Adam Wainwright | | 3.6 | 7.4 | 0.2 | | 50.0 | 71.9 | 36.6 | | 0 | 41.1 | 2.4 | | 1.4 | 3.6 | -13.5 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.47 | |
| | -1.5 | 190 | U 7.5 | -120 | -116 | | | Out | | 1 | ATL | R | Bryse Wilson | | 3.4 | 6.0 | 0.2 | | 50.1 | 28.1 | 63.5 | | 1 | 42.9 | 2.5 | | -3.7 | -6.4 | 8.9 | | | | ● | | | | 0.83 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 9.0 | -120 | 135 | | 76 | 6mph | | 0 | MIA | R | Zach Thompson | | 4.1 | 7.9 | 0.3 | | 42.1 | 62.8 | 40.6 | | 0 | 39.3 | 2.3 | | -0.5 | 3.6 | -14.0 | | | ● | | | | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 9.0 | 100 | -154 | | | R-L | | 2 | CHC | R | Alec Mills | | 4.4 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 57.9 | 37.2 | 59.5 | | 2 | 44.4 | 2.5 | | -2.7 | -7.2 | 9.5 | | | | ● | | | | 1.00 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 125 | O 8.5 | -105 | -135 | | 72 | 0mph | | 4 | MIN | R | Kenta Maeda | | 5.1 | 10.7 | 0.3 | | 47.1 | 35.6 | 62.8 | | 4 | 39.9 | 2.9 | | -10.3 | -8.8 | 11.6 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -145 | U 8.5 | -115 | 115 | | | Unknown | | 2 | TEX | R | Dane Dunning | | 5.3 | 10.2 | 0.3 | | 52.9 | 64.4 | 37.2 | | 0 | 47.4 | 3.3 | | 6.4 | 5.2 | -16.3 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 110 | O 12.0 | -110 | -135 | | 82 | 8mph | | 7 | MIL | L | Eric Lauer | | 6.5 | 11.1 | 0.4 | | 50.9 | 39.9 | 52.1 | | 5 | 42.3 | 3.7 | | -6.6 | -7.7 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -130 | U 12.0 | -110 | 115 | | | In | | 6 | COL | R | Chi Chi Gonzalez | | 6.3 | 11.0 | 0.4 | | 49.2 | 60.1 | 47.9 | | 0 | 46.2 | 3.8 | | 2.6 | 3.6 | -4.5 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.77 | |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -169 | O 8.0 | -110 | 115 | | 62 | 11mph | | 2 | PHI | R | Zach Eflin | | 4.7 | 9.0 | 0.4 | | 44.7 | 63.3 | 61.8 | | 2 | 39.7 | 2.7 | | -1.8 | 0.5 | 9.4 | | | ● | ● | | | -1 | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 8.0 | -110 | -135 | | | Out | | 11 | SF | L | Sammy Long | | 4.9 | 9.7 | 0.3 | | 55.3 | 36.7 | 38.2 | | 6 | 47.8 | 3.0 | | -2.1 | -3.3 | -14.2 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -141 | O 9.5 | -105 | 140 | | 77 | 10mph | | 5 | DET | R | Casey Mize | | 5.2 | 9.1 | 0.4 | | 47.9 | 65.6 | 53.1 | | 3 | 48.1 | 3.2 | | 6.2 | 7.1 | 1.9 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.40 | 0.71 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 120 | U 9.5 | -115 | -161 | | | Out | | 3 | LAA | R | Dylan Bundy | | 5.2 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 52.2 | 34.4 | 46.9 | | 3 | 38.4 | 2.8 | | -9.5 | -11.1 | -6.6 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 100 | O 8.0 | -115 | -161 | | 73 | 10mph | | 2 | TB | L | Shane McClanahan | | 5.6 | 9.8 | 0.1 | | 54.2 | 43.5 | 68.1 | | 0 | 47.4 | 3.4 | | -7.5 | -6.6 | 14.6 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
| | 1.5 | -120 | U 8.0 | -105 | 140 | | | In | | 6 | SEA | L | Marco Gonzales | | 5.0 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 45.8 | 56.6 | 31.9 | | 1 | 40.1 | 3.1 | | 4.1 | 2.0 | -19.3 | | ● | ● | | | 1.40 | 0.83 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -164 | O 8.0 | 100 | 120 | | 72 | 9mph | | 2 | CIN | R | Luis Castillo | | 3.7 | 7.5 | 0.2 | | 31.9 | 48.8 | 54.6 | | 0 | 28.3 | 1.9 | | -13.6 | -13.3 | 4.6 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 8.0 | -120 | -141 | | | L-R | | 3 | SD | R | Dinelson Lamet | | 5.4 | 9.3 | 0.4 | | 68.2 | 51.2 | 45.4 | | 3 | 57.4 | 3.2 | | 9.6 | 10.4 | -9.1 | | ● | ● | | | 0.71 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -125 | O 9.5 | -105 | -200 | | 72 | 0mph | | 9 | LAD | R | Tony Gonsolin | | 6.3 | 9.5 | 0.4 | | 71.0 | 59.3 | 49.6 | | 9 | 64.1 | 3.8 | | 4.3 | 3.7 | -1.6 | | ● | ● | | | 0.50 | -1 | |
| | 1.5 | 105 | U 9.5 | -115 | 170 | | | Unknown | | 8 | ARI | R | Corbin Martin | | 3.7 | 7.8 | 0.3 | | 29.1 | 40.8 | 50.4 | | 1 | 22.4 | 1.9 | | -8.0 | -8.0 | -3.1 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -190 | O 7.5 | -110 | 108 | | 78 | 8mph | | 0 | STL | L | Kwang Hyun Kim | | 3.7 | 6.8 | 0.2 | | 51.1 | 72.1 | 39.5 | | 0 | 43.5 | 2.6 | | 3.0 | 6.6 | -12.9 | | ● | ● | | | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 7.5 | -110 | -118 | | | R-L | | 0 | ATL | L | Drew Smyly | | 3.4 | 6.8 | 0.2 | | 48.9 | 27.9 | 60.5 | | 0 | 41.5 | 2.5 | | -5.2 | -9.1 | 8.1 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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