Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-21-2021 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 2.35 | | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 0.07 | 2.35 | | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 0.54 | | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.71 | 1.34 | | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.78 | | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.26 | 1.78 | | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | -1.13 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 5.16 | -0.13 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-21-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -115 | O 10.5 | -115 | -172 | | 84 | 11mph | | 10 | HOU | R | Jake Odorizzi | | 6.4 | 11.4 | 0.2 | | 59.1 | 47.6 | 54.8 | | 5 | 50.8 | 3.5 | | -4.2 | -5.9 | 1.3 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | 1.5 | -105 | U 10.5 | -105 | 145 | | | Out | | 2 | BAL | L | Keegan Akin | | 5.0 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 41.0 | 52.5 | 45.3 | | 0 | 36.0 | 2.8 | | 0.1 | 1.2 | -6.0 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 130 | O 8.0 | -110 | -125 | | 72 | 0mph | | 3 | OAK | R | Frankie Montas | | 4.0 | 8.4 | 0.2 | | 38.1 | 28.2 | 55.2 | | 1 | 29.7 | 2.0 | | -17.5 | -15.3 | 2.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | 1.5 | -149 | U 8.0 | -110 | 105 | | | Unknown | | 8 | TEX | R | Kyle Gibson | | 5.0 | 9.7 | 0.4 | | 61.9 | 71.9 | 44.8 | | 5 | 54.5 | 3.0 | | 13.1 | 12.0 | -7.6 | | ● | ● | | | 1.05 | 0.67 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -172 | O 7.0 | -115 | 130 | | 65 | 12mph | | 4 | CLE | R | Aaron Civale | | 3.5 | 7.1 | 0.3 | | 43.6 | 63.8 | 49.2 | | 3 | 37.7 | 2.0 | | 0.1 | 0.6 | -4.3 | | ● | ● | | | 1.30 | 0.58 | |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 7.0 | -105 | -149 | | | In | | 0 | CHC | R | Adbert Alzolay | | 3.9 | 6.9 | 0.3 | | 56.5 | 36.2 | 50.9 | | 0 | 44.0 | 2.2 | | -3.4 | -4.6 | -0.4 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 130 | O 9.5 | -105 | -120 | | 65 | 11mph | | 5 | CIN | R | Tyler Mahle | | 4.4 | 8.6 | 0.2 | | 49.0 | 36.5 | 38.4 | | 3 | 43.8 | 2.4 | | -5.6 | -7.0 | -12.8 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -149 | U 9.5 | -115 | 100 | | | Out | | 7 | MIN | L | J.A. Happ | | 4.2 | 7.4 | 0.4 | | 51.1 | 63.6 | 61.6 | | 3 | 39.4 | 2.2 | | 1.0 | 3.7 | 8.1 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.00 | 0.67 | -1 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 135 | O 9.5 | -105 | -120 | | 72 | 0mph | | 1 | MIL | L | Brett Anderson | | 4.5 | 9.0 | 0.4 | | 46.6 | 35.5 | 41.4 | | 1 | 34.9 | 2.3 | | -8.0 | -7.1 | -9.9 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -161 | U 9.5 | -115 | 100 | | | Unknown | | 5 | ARI | R | Merrill Kelly | | 4.7 | 9.1 | 0.3 | | 53.5 | 64.5 | 58.7 | | 5 | 50.0 | 2.9 | | 3.4 | 2.8 | 5.2 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.87 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -196 | O 7.0 | -120 | 110 | | 67 | 9mph | | 2 | LAD | L | Julio Urias | | 3.8 | 7.4 | 0.4 | | 50.2 | 69.6 | 49.6 | | 1 | 40.0 | 1.9 | | 2.6 | 3.4 | -4.9 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 165 | U 7.0 | 100 | -132 | | | In | | 6 | SD | R | Yu Darvish | | 3.7 | 7.5 | 0.4 | | 49.8 | 30.4 | 50.4 | | 6 | 40.6 | 1.8 | | -7.1 | -7.3 | 0.4 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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