Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs



May23456789101112131415161718192021222324
June234567891011121314151617181920212223
August1112131418

Results

MoneylineRun Line(1.5)OversUnders
WL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey Unit
6-4-20216842.9-3.142340.07.67-0.945838.5-4.323260.07.91-0.045362.51.5620100.016.771.782250.0-0.2610100.011.610.87
Last 14767550.3-7.8410100.019.590.80827552.2-1.5710100.021.281.45393453.41.52373154.40.532.61283941.8-13.9410100.019.820.91
Year to Date23126846.3-59.42716452.67.67-0.3425625849.8-34.471150.021.280.4516213554.511.40755159.58.0816.839310447.2-20.60010.021.23-1.00

The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.

Games Of 6-4-2021

BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box-1.5145O 8.5-115-110815mph1CLEREli Morgan4.28.60.340.028.954.7033.02.4-12.4-12.01.2-1
1.5-172U 8.5-105-110Out3BALLKeegan Akin4.99.00.360.171.245.4052.33.27.77.9-5.90.910.58
Box1.5-192O 9.0-115100726mph5BOSRNathan Eovaldi5.09.10.252.067.152.9345.92.92.01.3-0.61.000.52
-1.5160U 9.0-105-120Out2NYYRMichael King4.78.90.348.032.947.1040.12.7-6.5-5.6-4.1
Box1.5-222O 7.0-105100756mph2WSHRMax Scherzer2.97.70.235.458.739.0128.21.4-14.6-10.2-12.3
-1.5175U 7.0-115-120Out1PHIRZack Wheeler3.76.40.464.641.361.1149.62.010.14.97.6-1-10.87
Box-1.5150O 8.0-110-110797mph2MIARCody Poteet4.98.70.355.043.652.6253.83.02.63.50.2-1-10.91
1.5-179U 8.0-110-110Out9PITRMitch Keller3.98.10.345.056.547.4430.62.1-7.4-7.7-5.0
Box1.5-185O 8.5-115115829mph13HOURZack Greinke5.511.50.236.153.175.7331.62.9-10.4-11.922.20.87
-1.5155U 8.5-105-135R-L1TORLHyun Jin Ryu6.912.30.563.947.024.4057.64.26.57.7-26.9-1-1
Box-1.5120O 8.5-120-135844mph9LADLJulio Urias5.19.30.359.446.752.3852.32.81.91.2-2.30.741.20
1.5-141U 8.5100115R-L5ATLRIan Anderson4.08.50.240.753.447.8131.92.0-5.9-5.2-2.3
Box-1.5125O 8.0-110-135798mph4TBLJosh Fleming3.58.30.145.231.138.6035.11.7-12.3-13.3-13.8
1.5-145U 8.0-110115R-L5TEXRKyle Gibson3.88.70.354.968.961.4544.72.08.39.79.01.150.69-1
Box1.5-145O 8.0-1151308313mph8DETRSpencer Turnbull4.99.60.448.867.160.6148.32.85.37.97.1-10.690.87
-1.5125U 8.0-105-149R-L9CWSLDallas Keuchel4.98.90.451.232.939.5639.02.5-8.6-11.5-11.8
Box1.5-179O 9.5-1101058310mph5MINRMatt Shoemaker6.510.90.349.665.269.2246.43.80.81.016.8-1-10.91
-1.5150U 9.5-110-125Out14KCRBrad Keller6.110.30.450.434.930.91343.53.6-5.2-5.2-21.5
Box1.5-125O 8.5-105170720mph1ARIRMatt Peacock3.06.10.332.853.934.9023.21.2-4.3-1.7-16.3
-1.5105U 8.5-115-200Unknown5MILRFreddy Peralta4.38.00.367.346.165.1458.62.50.6-2.711.60.500.87
BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box1.5-179O 8.5100120836mph6CINRLuis Castillo3.68.70.230.148.250.5324.81.8-15.4-16.00.51.00
-1.5150U 8.5-120-141R-L4STLLKwang Hyun Kim5.310.40.469.951.949.5161.63.311.411.9-5.0-1-1
Box-1.5105O 11.0-110-135895mph9OAKRFrankie Montas5.18.90.239.730.747.0631.42.5-17.7-18.1-5.4
1.5-125U 11.0-110115R-L5COLRJon Gray6.110.70.460.369.453.0355.83.613.813.80.6-1-1-1
Box1.5-125O 9.0105150708mph2SEARRobert Dugger4.87.60.333.449.262.0229.92.5-6.7-6.413.2-1
-1.5105U 9.0-125-179Out3LAARShohei Ohtani6.210.60.466.750.838.0359.33.92.52.0-17.60.56-1
Box1.5-135O 7.0-120160646mph0NYMLJoey Lucchesi4.78.50.345.364.070.3045.73.06.86.615.7-1-1-1
-1.5115U 7.0100-192Out2SDLBlake Snell4.98.90.554.736.029.7141.82.9-11.1-10.5-20.3