Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-4-2021 | 6 | 8 | 42.9 | -3.14 | | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 7.67 | -0.94 | | 5 | 8 | 38.5 | -4.32 | | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 7.91 | -0.04 | | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | 1.56 | | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 16.77 | 1.78 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | -0.26 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 11.61 | 0.87 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-4-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 145 | O 8.5 | -115 | -110 | | 81 | 5mph | | 1 | CLE | R | Eli Morgan | | 4.2 | 8.6 | 0.3 | | 40.0 | 28.9 | 54.7 | | 0 | 33.0 | 2.4 | | -12.4 | -12.0 | 1.2 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | 1.5 | -172 | U 8.5 | -105 | -110 | | | Out | | 3 | BAL | L | Keegan Akin | | 4.9 | 9.0 | 0.3 | | 60.1 | 71.2 | 45.4 | | 0 | 52.3 | 3.2 | | 7.7 | 7.9 | -5.9 | | ● | ● | | | 0.91 | 0.58 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -192 | O 9.0 | -115 | 100 | | 72 | 6mph | | 5 | BOS | R | Nathan Eovaldi | | 5.0 | 9.1 | 0.2 | | 52.0 | 67.1 | 52.9 | | 3 | 45.9 | 2.9 | | 2.0 | 1.3 | -0.6 | | ● | ● | | | 1.00 | 0.52 | |
| | -1.5 | 160 | U 9.0 | -105 | -120 | | | Out | | 2 | NYY | R | Michael King | | 4.7 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 48.0 | 32.9 | 47.1 | | 0 | 40.1 | 2.7 | | -6.5 | -5.6 | -4.1 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -222 | O 7.0 | -105 | 100 | | 75 | 6mph | | 2 | WSH | R | Max Scherzer | | 2.9 | 7.7 | 0.2 | | 35.4 | 58.7 | 39.0 | | 1 | 28.2 | 1.4 | | -14.6 | -10.2 | -12.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 175 | U 7.0 | -115 | -120 | | | Out | | 1 | PHI | R | Zack Wheeler | | 3.7 | 6.4 | 0.4 | | 64.6 | 41.3 | 61.1 | | 1 | 49.6 | 2.0 | | 10.1 | 4.9 | 7.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.87 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 150 | O 8.0 | -110 | -110 | | 79 | 7mph | | 2 | MIA | R | Cody Poteet | | 4.9 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 55.0 | 43.6 | 52.6 | | 2 | 53.8 | 3.0 | | 2.6 | 3.5 | 0.2 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.91 |
| | 1.5 | -179 | U 8.0 | -110 | -110 | | | Out | | 9 | PIT | R | Mitch Keller | | 3.9 | 8.1 | 0.3 | | 45.0 | 56.5 | 47.4 | | 4 | 30.6 | 2.1 | | -7.4 | -7.7 | -5.0 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -185 | O 8.5 | -115 | 115 | | 82 | 9mph | | 13 | HOU | R | Zack Greinke | | 5.5 | 11.5 | 0.2 | | 36.1 | 53.1 | 75.7 | | 3 | 31.6 | 2.9 | | -10.4 | -11.9 | 22.2 | | | | ● | | | | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | 155 | U 8.5 | -105 | -135 | | | R-L | | 1 | TOR | L | Hyun Jin Ryu | | 6.9 | 12.3 | 0.5 | | 63.9 | 47.0 | 24.4 | | 0 | 57.6 | 4.2 | | 6.5 | 7.7 | -26.9 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 120 | O 8.5 | -120 | -135 | | 84 | 4mph | | 9 | LAD | L | Julio Urias | | 5.1 | 9.3 | 0.3 | | 59.4 | 46.7 | 52.3 | | 8 | 52.3 | 2.8 | | 1.9 | 1.2 | -2.3 | | ● | ● | | | 0.74 | 1.20 | |
| | 1.5 | -141 | U 8.5 | 100 | 115 | | | R-L | | 5 | ATL | R | Ian Anderson | | 4.0 | 8.5 | 0.2 | | 40.7 | 53.4 | 47.8 | | 1 | 31.9 | 2.0 | | -5.9 | -5.2 | -2.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 125 | O 8.0 | -110 | -135 | | 79 | 8mph | | 4 | TB | L | Josh Fleming | | 3.5 | 8.3 | 0.1 | | 45.2 | 31.1 | 38.6 | | 0 | 35.1 | 1.7 | | -12.3 | -13.3 | -13.8 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -145 | U 8.0 | -110 | 115 | | | R-L | | 5 | TEX | R | Kyle Gibson | | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.3 | | 54.9 | 68.9 | 61.4 | | 5 | 44.7 | 2.0 | | 8.3 | 9.7 | 9.0 | | ● | ● | ● | | 1.15 | 0.69 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 8.0 | -115 | 130 | | 83 | 13mph | | 8 | DET | R | Spencer Turnbull | | 4.9 | 9.6 | 0.4 | | 48.8 | 67.1 | 60.6 | | 1 | 48.3 | 2.8 | | 5.3 | 7.9 | 7.1 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.69 | 0.87 |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 8.0 | -105 | -149 | | | R-L | | 9 | CWS | L | Dallas Keuchel | | 4.9 | 8.9 | 0.4 | | 51.2 | 32.9 | 39.5 | | 6 | 39.0 | 2.5 | | -8.6 | -11.5 | -11.8 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 9.5 | -110 | 105 | | 83 | 10mph | | 5 | MIN | R | Matt Shoemaker | | 6.5 | 10.9 | 0.3 | | 49.6 | 65.2 | 69.2 | | 2 | 46.4 | 3.8 | | 0.8 | 1.0 | 16.8 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 9.5 | -110 | -125 | | | Out | | 14 | KC | R | Brad Keller | | 6.1 | 10.3 | 0.4 | | 50.4 | 34.9 | 30.9 | | 13 | 43.5 | 3.6 | | -5.2 | -5.2 | -21.5 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -125 | O 8.5 | -105 | 170 | | 72 | 0mph | | 1 | ARI | R | Matt Peacock | | 3.0 | 6.1 | 0.3 | | 32.8 | 53.9 | 34.9 | | 0 | 23.2 | 1.2 | | -4.3 | -1.7 | -16.3 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 105 | U 8.5 | -115 | -200 | | | Unknown | | 5 | MIL | R | Freddy Peralta | | 4.3 | 8.0 | 0.3 | | 67.3 | 46.1 | 65.1 | | 4 | 58.6 | 2.5 | | 0.6 | -2.7 | 11.6 | | ● | | ● | | 0.50 | | 0.87 |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 8.5 | 100 | 120 | | 83 | 6mph | | 6 | CIN | R | Luis Castillo | | 3.6 | 8.7 | 0.2 | | 30.1 | 48.2 | 50.5 | | 3 | 24.8 | 1.8 | | -15.4 | -16.0 | 0.5 | | | | ● | | | | 1.00 |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 8.5 | -120 | -141 | | | R-L | | 4 | STL | L | Kwang Hyun Kim | | 5.3 | 10.4 | 0.4 | | 69.9 | 51.9 | 49.5 | | 1 | 61.6 | 3.3 | | 11.4 | 11.9 | -5.0 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 105 | O 11.0 | -110 | -135 | | 89 | 5mph | | 9 | OAK | R | Frankie Montas | | 5.1 | 8.9 | 0.2 | | 39.7 | 30.7 | 47.0 | | 6 | 31.4 | 2.5 | | -17.7 | -18.1 | -5.4 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -125 | U 11.0 | -110 | 115 | | | R-L | | 5 | COL | R | Jon Gray | | 6.1 | 10.7 | 0.4 | | 60.3 | 69.4 | 53.0 | | 3 | 55.8 | 3.6 | | 13.8 | 13.8 | 0.6 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -125 | O 9.0 | 105 | 150 | | 70 | 8mph | | 2 | SEA | R | Robert Dugger | | 4.8 | 7.6 | 0.3 | | 33.4 | 49.2 | 62.0 | | 2 | 29.9 | 2.5 | | -6.7 | -6.4 | 13.2 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 105 | U 9.0 | -125 | -179 | | | Out | | 3 | LAA | R | Shohei Ohtani | | 6.2 | 10.6 | 0.4 | | 66.7 | 50.8 | 38.0 | | 3 | 59.3 | 3.9 | | 2.5 | 2.0 | -17.6 | | ● | ● | | | 0.56 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -135 | O 7.0 | -120 | 160 | | 64 | 6mph | | 0 | NYM | L | Joey Lucchesi | | 4.7 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 45.3 | 64.0 | 70.3 | | 0 | 45.7 | 3.0 | | 6.8 | 6.6 | 15.7 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 115 | U 7.0 | 100 | -192 | | | Out | | 2 | SD | L | Blake Snell | | 4.9 | 8.9 | 0.5 | | 54.7 | 36.0 | 29.7 | | 1 | 41.8 | 2.9 | | -11.1 | -10.5 | -20.3 | | | | | | | | |
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