Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs



May23456789101112131415161718192021222324
June234567891011121314151617181920212223
August1112131418

Results

MoneylineRun Line(1.5)OversUnders
WL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey Unit
6-5-20215645.5-2.0620100.010.761.002820.0-6.39010.09.23-1.005455.60.625362.51.421.623260.00.583260.04.020.58
Last 14767550.3-7.8410100.019.590.80827552.2-1.5710100.021.281.45393453.41.52373154.40.532.61283941.8-13.9410100.019.820.91
Year to Date23126846.3-59.42716452.67.67-0.3425625849.8-34.471150.021.280.4516213554.511.40755159.58.0816.839310447.2-20.60010.021.23-1.00

The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.

Games Of 6-5-2021

BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box1.5100O 8.0-1151908513mph4DETLTarik Skubal3.87.50.321.637.068.6320.32.0-12.9-13.115.1-1
-1.5-120U 8.0-105-238R-L3CWSRLucas Giolito6.89.50.378.463.131.4168.44.38.08.5-19.8-1-1
Box-1.5130O 9.0105-125869mph5CINRTyler Mahle5.08.50.253.440.949.1251.32.9-2.2-2.60.3-1
1.5-149U 9.0-125105Out2STLRJohan Oviedo4.48.50.346.659.250.9234.32.3-2.2-0.7-4.7
Box1.5-244O 10.0-115-1107617mph2HOURJose Urquidy7.512.60.254.669.974.0153.24.52.2-1.120.5-1-1
-1.5195U 10.0-105-110R-L6TORRRoss Stripling6.511.50.545.530.226.1636.33.7-6.9-3.7-25.2
Box1.5-192O 8.5-105110908mph10CLERAaron Civale3.47.00.337.155.737.3829.31.6-10.6-10.1-13.9
-1.5160U 8.5-115-132Out4BALLJohn Means4.38.20.363.044.362.7353.92.56.15.89.2-1-1-1
Box-1.5105O 8.0-110-149808mph3TBLRich Hill4.39.20.150.836.648.3243.52.3-9.0-12.2-4.1
1.5-125U 8.0-110130R-L0TEXLKolby Allard4.08.50.349.263.451.7038.92.25.77.8-0.7-1-1
Box1.5-185O 9.5-1101008910mph2WSHRJoe Ross4.58.80.342.961.843.6135.72.3-7.2-3.1-8.8
-1.5155U 9.5-110-120Out5PHIRSpencer Howard4.88.70.457.238.256.4449.32.92.6-1.04.00.830.91
Box-1.5115O 8.0100-141869mph7MIALTrevor Rogers4.68.50.353.741.451.4548.92.7-4.9-5.21.41.00
1.5-135U 8.0-120120Out8PITRChase De Jong4.08.30.346.458.748.6235.82.20.91.2-6.01.200.74
Box-1.5140O 8.5-125-1108512mph5MINRJose Berrios5.59.40.253.442.758.2346.12.91.01.02.60.91-10.80
1.5-164U 8.5105-110Out4KCLMike Minor4.79.00.346.657.341.9439.62.5-5.8-4.8-6.9
Box1.5-105O 7.5-110190720mph5ARIRMerrill Kelly1.75.00.317.438.230.2210.70.5-17.1-13.1-22.2
-1.5-115U 7.5-110-238Unknown7MILRBrandon Woodruff4.48.20.482.761.969.9369.92.512.28.417.50.420.87-1
Box1.5-179O 9.51001058610mph7BOSLEduardo Rodriguez5.39.60.246.361.757.6040.13.1-2.5-2.57.61.00
-1.5150U 9.5-120-125Out3NYYRJameson Taillon5.610.30.253.738.442.4247.93.4-1.9-1.7-12.1
BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box-1.5130O 8.0-110-132814mph4LADLClayton Kershaw5.49.50.356.244.259.5448.62.9-0.70.77.1-10.91
1.5-149U 8.0-110110In6ATLRCharlie Morton4.48.70.243.955.940.5536.72.4-3.8-4.0-11.9
Box1.5-145O 7.51051456212mph3CHCRKohl Stewart2.45.80.326.046.736.1215.90.9-14.8-12.5-12.7
-1.5125U 7.5-125-172Out4SFRKevin Gausman4.48.00.274.053.364.0467.42.710.88.98.40.58-10.80
Box-1.5115O 11.5-115-132839mph6OAKLCole Irvin7.011.30.254.746.157.2548.33.9-2.2-0.53.7-1
1.5-135U 11.5-105110L-R3COLLKyle Freeland5.911.20.445.454.042.9140.63.5-2.3-3.5-8.4
Box1.5-164O 8.0-110135677mph5SEALYusei Kikuchi4.99.20.347.666.060.7542.92.65.03.98.3-1-10.91
-1.5140U 8.0-110-161Out12LAARAlex Cobb4.88.40.452.434.039.4442.42.6-9.3-7.7-13.0
Box-1.5165O 6.0-105-105636mph4NYMRJacob deGrom2.35.60.240.124.633.5231.41.0-11.2-13.2-17.8
1.5-196U 6.0-115-115L-R0SDRJoe Musgrove2.86.20.460.075.566.6040.01.26.59.213.1-1-10.87