Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs
Results
| Moneyline | | Run Line(1.5) | | Overs | | Unders | |
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| W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit | | W | L | % | U | | Key W | Key L | Key % | Key Value | Key Unit |
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| 6-9-2021 | 3 | 7 | 30.0 | -4.64 | | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 3.59 | 0.36 | | 4 | 5 | 44.4 | -0.72 | | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 3.89 | 1.70 | | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | -0.19 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.41 | 0.95 | | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | -1.18 | | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 5.73 | -0.18 |
| Last 14 | 76 | 75 | 50.3 | -7.84 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.59 | 0.80 | | 82 | 75 | 52.2 | -1.57 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 21.28 | 1.45 | | 39 | 34 | 53.4 | 1.52 | | 37 | 31 | 54.4 | 0.53 | 2.61 | | 28 | 39 | 41.8 | -13.94 | | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 19.82 | 0.91 |
| Year to Date | 231 | 268 | 46.3 | -59.42 | | 71 | 64 | 52.6 | 7.67 | -0.34 | | 256 | 258 | 49.8 | -34.47 | | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 21.28 | 0.45 | | 162 | 135 | 54.5 | 11.40 | | 75 | 51 | 59.5 | 8.08 | 16.83 | | 93 | 104 | 47.2 | -20.60 | | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 21.23 | -1.00 |
The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.
Games Of 6-9-2021
| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -217 | O 7.5 | -115 | -110 | | 72 | 0mph | | 3 | SF | L | Zack Littell | | 3.7 | 8.2 | 0.3 | | 47.7 | 66.0 | 43.1 | | 2 | 37.5 | 1.8 | | -4.7 | -2.5 | -10.4 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 170 | U 7.5 | -105 | -110 | | | Unknown | | 4 | TEX | R | Kyle Gibson | | 3.8 | 8.3 | 0.3 | | 52.3 | 34.0 | 57.0 | | 0 | 44.6 | 2.1 | | -0.1 | -3.0 | 5.7 | | | | ● | | | | 0.95 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -120 | O 8.5 | -115 | 170 | | 61 | 14mph | | 0 | ARI | R | Matt Peacock | | 4.3 | 10.5 | 0.3 | | 45.7 | 63.5 | 49.9 | | 0 | 43.4 | 2.6 | | 8.6 | 9.0 | -3.6 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
| | -1.5 | 100 | U 8.5 | -105 | -200 | | | Out | | 4 | OAK | L | Sean Manaea | | 4.6 | 8.3 | 0.2 | | 54.4 | 36.5 | 50.2 | | 3 | 44.0 | 2.7 | | -12.3 | -13.5 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | 100 | O 8.0 | -105 | 200 | | 69 | 11mph | | 3 | CHC | R | Jake Arrieta | | 3.8 | 7.0 | 0.3 | | 26.1 | 43.2 | 61.9 | | 1 | 22.0 | 1.9 | | -7.2 | -6.9 | 10.7 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
| | -1.5 | -120 | U 8.0 | -115 | -256 | | | L-R | | 1 | SD | R | Yu Darvish | | 6.0 | 9.5 | 0.4 | | 73.9 | 56.9 | 38.1 | | 1 | 67.4 | 3.9 | | 2.0 | 2.3 | -15.4 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | 115 | O 9.5 | -105 | -132 | | 85 | 4mph | | 14 | NYM | R | Taijuan Walker | | 5.3 | 10.6 | 0.3 | | 63.9 | 51.8 | 38.1 | | 8 | 59.9 | 3.2 | | 7.0 | 5.3 | -13.1 | | ● | ● | | | 0.76 | 1.15 | |
| | 1.5 | -135 | U 9.5 | -115 | 110 | | | L-R | | 1 | BAL | R | Matt Harvey | | 3.5 | 7.7 | 0.3 | | 36.2 | 48.2 | 61.9 | | 1 | 27.3 | 1.8 | | -11.5 | -9.2 | 8.4 | | | | ● | | | | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -172 | O 9.0 | -125 | 115 | | 82 | 6mph | | 1 | ATL | L | Tucker Davidson | | 5.1 | 9.6 | 0.3 | | 46.5 | 65.3 | 56.1 | | 0 | 41.0 | 2.7 | | -0.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | | | ● | ● | | | 0.58 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 145 | U 9.0 | 105 | -135 | | | L-R | | 2 | PHI | R | Zach Eflin | | 5.1 | 8.5 | 0.4 | | 53.6 | 34.7 | 43.9 | | 0 | 45.8 | 3.0 | | -3.9 | -6.1 | -4.9 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -115 | O 9.0 | -105 | -185 | | 80 | 3mph | | 2 | LAD | R | Tony Gonsolin | | 4.6 | 8.4 | 0.3 | | 56.3 | 43.2 | 40.6 | | 2 | 49.0 | 2.5 | | -8.6 | -10.3 | -10.7 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | -105 | U 9.0 | -115 | 155 | | | R-L | | 1 | PIT | L | Tyler Anderson | | 3.8 | 8.5 | 0.3 | | 43.7 | 56.9 | 59.5 | | 1 | 34.4 | 2.0 | | 4.5 | 5.6 | 6.0 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | 0.95 | 0.87 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -161 | O 10.0 | -105 | 120 | | 80 | 5mph | | 8 | HOU | R | Jake Odorizzi | | 6.3 | 12.0 | 0.2 | | 39.3 | 53.9 | 70.6 | | 5 | 33.5 | 3.4 | | -6.2 | -7.8 | 19.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.95 |
| | -1.5 | 135 | U 10.0 | -115 | -141 | | | In | | 3 | BOS | R | Nathan Eovaldi | | 7.2 | 11.4 | 0.3 | | 60.8 | 46.2 | 29.4 | | 3 | 57.0 | 4.5 | | 2.2 | 3.6 | -24.1 | | ● | ● | | | -1 | -1 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -179 | O 9.0 | -110 | 120 | | 83 | 7mph | | 9 | SEA | R | Chris Flexen | | 5.2 | 8.9 | 0.3 | | 44.2 | 61.0 | 61.9 | | 0 | 38.9 | 2.8 | | -1.3 | -3.2 | 9.5 | | | | ● | | | | 0.91 |
| | -1.5 | 150 | U 9.0 | -110 | -141 | | | In | | 6 | DET | R | Casey Mize | | 5.6 | 10.9 | 0.4 | | 55.9 | 39.1 | 38.1 | | 3 | 48.2 | 3.3 | | -2.7 | -1.0 | -14.3 | | | | | | | | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -192 | O 10.0 | -105 | 105 | | 76 | 4mph | | 3 | MIL | L | Brett Anderson | | 5.1 | 8.3 | 0.3 | | 40.6 | 57.7 | 54.6 | | 2 | 35.4 | 2.7 | | -8.2 | -8.1 | 3.4 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
| | -1.5 | 160 | U 10.0 | -115 | -125 | | | In | | 7 | CIN | R | Vladimir Gutierrez | | 6.0 | 9.9 | 0.2 | | 59.5 | 42.4 | 45.4 | | 7 | 52.0 | 3.4 | | 3.9 | 3.9 | -8.1 | | ● | ● | | | 0.80 | 1.60 | |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 7.5 | -105 | 140 | | 72 | 0mph | | 9 | WSH | L | Patrick Corbin | | 4.2 | 8.8 | 0.3 | | 37.5 | 55.9 | 64.0 | | 5 | 33.5 | 2.5 | | -4.2 | -3.3 | 12.8 | | | | ● | | | | 0.95 |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 7.5 | -115 | -164 | | | Unknown | | 7 | TB | L | Shane McClanahan | | 5.2 | 9.4 | 0.1 | | 62.5 | 44.2 | 36.0 | | 3 | 54.4 | 3.4 | | 0.4 | -0.3 | -17.5 | | ● | | | | -1 | | |
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| Box | | RL | O/U | ML | | WX | | Matchup | | R | H | E | | Win % | RL % | O/U % | | F5 | F5 Win% | F5 Runs | | ML Value | RL Value | O/U Value | | ML Play | RL Play | O/U Play | | ML Res | RL Res | O/U Res |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -145 | O 8.0 | -115 | 135 | | 73 | 8mph | | 6 | TOR | R | Alek Manoah | | 3.5 | 7.4 | 0.4 | | 38.8 | 58.7 | 42.3 | | 1 | 31.8 | 1.7 | | -3.8 | -0.5 | -11.2 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 125 | U 8.0 | -105 | -161 | | | L-R | | 2 | CWS | R | Lance Lynn | | 4.3 | 7.4 | 0.4 | | 61.2 | 41.4 | 57.7 | | 2 | 49.4 | 2.4 | | -0.5 | -3.1 | 6.5 | | | | ● | | | | 0.00 |
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| Box | | -1.5 | -125 | O 8.5 | -110 | -192 | | 91 | 8mph | | 9 | NYY | R | Gerrit Cole | | 4.5 | 10.1 | 0.2 | | 58.8 | 44.9 | 41.3 | | 8 | 48.8 | 2.3 | | -7.0 | -10.7 | -11.1 | | | | | | | | |
| | 1.5 | 105 | U 8.5 | -110 | 160 | | | R-L | | 6 | MIN | R | Randy Dobnak | | 3.5 | 7.7 | 0.3 | | 41.3 | 55.2 | 58.8 | | 2 | 32.7 | 1.7 | | 2.8 | 6.4 | 6.4 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -192 | O 8.0 | -110 | 105 | | 82 | 4mph | | 2 | CLE | R | Jean Carlos Mejí | | 3.8 | 8.3 | 0.3 | | 40.9 | 62.2 | 46.4 | | 2 | 37.2 | 2.0 | | -7.9 | -3.6 | -6.0 | | | | | | | | |
| | -1.5 | 160 | U 8.0 | -110 | -125 | | | In | | 8 | STL | R | Adam Wainwright | | 4.3 | 8.7 | 0.4 | | 59.2 | 37.9 | 53.6 | | 6 | 45.9 | 2.3 | | 3.6 | -0.6 | 1.2 | | ● | | ● | | 0.80 | | -1 |
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| Box | | 1.5 | -149 | O 9.0 | -110 | 135 | | 71 | 11mph | | 1 | KC | R | Brad Keller | | 5.9 | 9.2 | 0.3 | | 46.0 | 62.3 | 69.7 | | 1 | 41.5 | 3.6 | | 3.4 | 2.4 | 17.3 | | ● | ● | ● | | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| | -1.5 | 130 | U 9.0 | -110 | -161 | | | Out | | 6 | LAA | R | Griffin Canning | | 6.1 | 10.7 | 0.4 | | 54.1 | 37.8 | 30.3 | | 2 | 47.0 | 4.0 | | -7.6 | -5.7 | -22.1 | | | | | | | | |
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