Sports Betting Truth Major League Baseball Model Outputs



May23456789101112131415161718192021222324
June234567891011121314151617181920212223
August1112131418

Results

MoneylineRun Line(1.5)OversUnders
WL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey UnitWL%UKey WKey LKey %Key ValueKey Unit
8-14-20217558.31.667463.60.462.665645.5-0.7210100.021.281.456185.74.4260100.03.925.421233.3-1.1310100.014.660.87
Last 14767550.3-7.8410100.019.590.80827552.2-1.5710100.021.281.45393453.41.52373154.40.532.61283941.8-13.9410100.019.820.91
Year to Date23126846.3-59.42716452.67.67-0.3425625849.8-34.471150.021.280.4516213554.511.40755159.58.0816.839310447.2-20.60010.021.23-1.00

The model is back up and running for the time being. I can't guarantee daily updates or that I will continue for the rest of the year but I just wanted to return to it for now.

Games Of 8-14-2021

BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box-1.5-115O 7.5105-2008210mph4MILLBrett Anderson3.97.50.359.443.834.1450.12.6-7.3-9.7-14.7
1.5-105U 7.5-125180Out14PITRBryse Wilson2.76.30.240.756.365.91232.31.94.95.010.31.800.95-1
Box-1.5120O 9.5-115-1258910mph1CINRLuis Castillo6.09.90.262.149.752.1056.33.66.54.2-1.4-1-1
1.5-145U 9.5-105105L-R6PHILMatt Moore4.48.60.437.950.348.0130.92.5-10.9-8.9-3.3
Box2.5-115O 10.0-115250846mph2BALRJorge Lopez4.79.40.228.856.760.8227.92.70.23.27.3-1-10.87
-2.5-105U 10.0-105-303In16BOSLChris Sale7.011.50.371.343.339.21462.14.5-3.9-7.9-12.0
Box-1.5-105O 9.0-110-161866mph12ATLLMax Fried5.810.10.262.250.256.3653.33.30.5-1.13.90.620.91
1.5-115U 9.0-110135L-R2WSHLPatrick Corbin4.38.60.437.949.943.7134.42.4-4.7-3.6-8.7
Box1.5-175O 10.0-105105768mph4CLELSam Hentges4.27.90.224.937.958.3315.72.2-23.9-25.77.10.00
-1.5145U 10.0-115-125L-R6DETRWily Peralta7.111.20.375.262.141.7476.65.419.621.3-11.80.801.45
Box1.5-154O 7.5-115125720mph4CHCRZach Davies3.37.00.329.147.951.8126.21.7-15.4-12.8-1.7
-1.5125U 7.5-105-154Unknown5MIARZach Thompson5.09.40.471.052.248.2060.53.210.37.7-3.00.65-1
Box-2.5110O 9.0-105-227720mph8OAKRJames Kaprielian6.310.70.270.247.156.2260.53.70.7-0.55.00.440.95
2.5-135U 9.0-115195Unknown3TEXRJordan Lyles3.87.60.329.952.943.8127.42.2-4.0-4.5-9.7
Box-1.5-115O 7.5100-200787mph6MILLAaron Ashby5.18.50.369.055.251.8260.73.82.31.71.80.500.87-1
1.5-105U 7.5-120165Out0PITRMitch Keller3.16.60.231.144.848.2026.82.3-6.7-6.4-6.3
Box1.5-164O 8.5-115115758mph7NYYRJameson Taillon3.86.90.237.156.445.1335.92.1-9.4-5.8-8.4
-1.5135U 8.5-105-141L-R5CWSRDylan Cease4.78.20.262.943.754.9350.02.84.41.13.7-1-1-1
Box-1.5145O 10.0-105-105837mph9STLLJon Lester5.610.60.349.538.255.4240.53.3-1.8-2.64.20.95
1.5-175U 10.0-115-115In4KCRBrad Keller5.510.70.350.661.844.6149.53.8-2.9-1.8-8.9
BoxRLO/UMLWXMatchupRHEWin %RL %O/U %F5F5 Win%F5 RunsML ValueRL ValueO/U ValueML PlayRL PlayO/U PlayML ResRL ResO/U Res
Box-1.5140O 9.5-115-110869mph0TBRMichael Wacha6.110.40.249.238.666.7041.33.6-3.2-3.113.20.87
1.5-164U 9.5-105-110R-L12MINRKenta Maeda6.010.40.350.961.533.4747.63.9-1.5-0.7-17.9
Box-1.5-115O 8.0-115-189867mph2LADRWalker Buehler5.18.90.462.948.950.7055.32.7-2.5-4.6-2.8
1.5-105U 8.0-105155In1NYMRTaijuan Walker3.67.20.337.251.249.3129.11.8-2.1-0.1-1.9
Box-1.5-135O 9.0-105-227720mph0SDRJoe Musgrove4.69.10.366.651.931.9052.42.4-2.9-5.5-19.4
1.5110U 9.0-115180Unknown7ARILTyler Gilbert3.07.00.333.548.168.2627.31.5-2.30.514.71.100.87
Box1.5-110O 8.5-1051856311mph4COLLKyle Freeland3.97.90.237.556.650.2135.82.32.44.2-1.01.850.91
-1.5-110U 8.5-115-227Out1SFLSammy Long5.19.10.362.543.549.8150.12.9-6.9-8.9-3.7
Box-1.5-130O 9.5-105-200798mph8HOURLuis Garcia5.89.80.261.348.949.4446.93.0-5.4-7.6-1.8
1.5105U 9.5-115170Out2LAARJaime Barria4.48.40.438.851.150.6238.22.51.72.3-2.9-1-1
Box-1.5115O 8.5-115-141720mph3TORLHyun Jin Ryu5.910.00.465.852.759.4354.63.47.26.15.9-1-10.87
1.5-141U 8.5-105115Unknown9SEALYusei Kikuchi3.97.80.234.347.440.7231.62.3-12.3-11.2-10.6